The pressure gradient is tightened as the low approaches with an increase in NE winds and swell expected through the end of the week. A small low exits the coast north of Coffs Harbour, which delays the offshore flow and maintains a N’ly wind across the region until a front brings an offshore change Fri. The return S’ly flow as another small low and front develop near Tasmania late Fri/Early Sat is expected to kick in over the weekend.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/21/fun-sized-ne-swell-good-wind-change-friday
freeride76
Wednesday, 21 September 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/19/another-tasty-round-ne-swell-developing-mid
freeride76
Monday, 19 September 2022
We have a typical looking Spring pattern with a weak high over the NSW interior and some flabby fronts passing South of Tasmania. An approaching trough series and inland low adds action mid-week as it tightens the pressure gradient with a more southerly located high, developing a N’ly fetch off the NSW Coast and another round of chunky NE windswell making landfall from mid week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/16/solid-ne-windswell-easing-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 16 September 2022
Still, no major change to the weekend f/cast. A complex low linked to multiple troughs and cold fronts is now approaching from SW of Tasmania. A main coastal trough linked to an Indian Ocean NW cloud band is clearing the area with a mostly NW flow across the weekend and a slowly easing NE swell on tap.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/14/strong-ne-windswell-ahead-easing-over-the
freeride76
Wednesday, 14 September 2022
Typical Spring pattern with a slight La Niña/IOD twist unfolding at present. A large high is now moving into the Tasman, directing a N’ly flow along most of the Eastern seaboard. That flow intensifies in response to an approaching series of troughs and a complex low in the Bight generating some strong NE windswell for East Tas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/12/nice-pulse-s-swell-another-strong-round-ne
freeride76
Monday, 12 September 2022
By Thurs we’ll be lining up another round of NE swell, with plenty of size expected as an approaching complex low tightens the pressure gradient with a Tasman high and generates a powerful NE fetch down the Western Tasman Sea.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/09/large-ne-swell-tomorrow
Craig
Friday, 9 September 2022
Large surf early tomorrow, easing steadily through the weekend while tending more E/NE. Follow up S swell mid-week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/07/solid-ne-windswell-incoming-tomorrow
freeride76
Wednesday, 7 September 2022
The high will move E with a N’ly flow rapidly developing as pressure gradients get tightened by an approaching front, complex low and trough line, generating solid NE windswell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/05/easing-s-swells-chunky-ne-windswell-thursfri
freeride76
Monday, 5 September 2022
This seabreeze heralds a strong N’ly flow developing off the South Coast and down to Bass Strait Thursday morning, which is expected to produce a chunky NE windswell for Thurs, under fresh NE winds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/09/02/long-period-sly-swells-ahead-troublesome-winds
freeride76
Friday, 2 September 2022
Bit of a downgrade for next weeks surf prospects. Firstly, because the S’ly flow remains more stubbornly entrenched through Mon and Tues- although we should start seeing morning land breezes develop at least by Tues morning. Secondly, the deep polar low outbreak now really winds up a little further E (favouring California!) so we’re more exposed to sideband energy rather than the main course.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2022/08/31/solid-s-swell-pulses-over-the-weekend-and-next
freeride76
Wednesday, 31 August 2022
The current pattern- with weak high pressure drifting across Central NSW and a soft ridge along the coast- will be replaced in emphatic fashion by a much stronger front and trough on Friday, forming a surface low off the Mid North Coast, anchored by a monster high moving into the Bight at the same time. Well to the south of that set-up will be a deep polar low and associated fronts with severe gales to storm force winds generating long period S’ly swells to make landfall over the weekend and into early next week.
