A very significant node of the Long Wave Trough is expected to amplify into the Bight early next week. Although the mature phase of this event will generally occur inside the Tasmanian swell shadow (relative to NSW’s swell window), we’ll see a powerful secondary phase push through the lower Tasman Sea mid-week, generating large southerly swells for us. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/24/end-small-settled-conditions-large-windy
thermalben
Friday, 24 May 2019
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/22/tiny-spell-ahead-though-plenty-charts
thermalben
Wednesday, 22 May 2019
The Southern Ocean storm track is aimed well and truly away from our swell window, so we’re not expecting much, if any new energy for the rest of the week. Next week is very dynamic though. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/20/keep-watch-flukey-long-period-south
thermalben
Monday, 20 May 2019
A dominant ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea will maintain mainly light variable winds all week. As for surf, the swell charts look devoid of activity but that belies what’s been happening in our acute south swell window over the last few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/17/doldrums-small-southerly-swell-regime
thermalben
Friday, 17 May 2019
The wind outlook for the next fourteen days says it all: light and variable. All the result of a blocking high in the Tasman Sea.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/15/southerly-regularity
thermalben
Wednesday, 15 May 2019
The rest of the week will continue to see favourably light winds and weak sea breezes under a weak synoptic pattern. As for surf, the current southerly regime will persist for some time. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/13/plenty-south-swell-way-good-winds-boot
thermalben
Monday, 13 May 2019
First glance of the swell graphs suggests tiny surf and light winds all week. However, we’ve got some really nice waves on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/10/saturday-size-most-next-week-conditions
thermalben
Friday, 10 May 2019
Saturday morning will see a large Tasman Low intensify well off the Southern NSW coast. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/08/coupla-unusual-swell-sources-watch
thermalben
Wednesday, 8 May 2019
Unfortunately, the latest model runs have narrowed the width of the responsible fetch - a post-frontal W/SW flow exiting eastern Bass Strait - and also tweaked its direction a little more zonally, away from our swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/06/wide-range-great-waves-across-coming
thermalben
Monday, 6 May 2019
The Tasman Low responsible for our current swell is reaching maturity to the east of Bass Strait, and peak swell energy will push across the coast overnight into Tuesday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/03/downgrade-weekend-there-are-still-great
thermalben
Friday, 3 May 2019
There’s been a bit of argy bargy in the models, with a significant downgrade overnight Thursday, but a slight correction this afternoon. More in the Forecaster Notes.
