Tricky forecast period, so make the most of Saturday's beachiesPremium content for Swellnet Pro subscribers

Ben Matson picture
Ben Matson (thermalben)

OK, I’m gonna downgrade my outlook for the Monday swell.

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Comments

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 12:55pm

Max temps at Aireys Inlet on Saturday reached 33.7 around 5pm.

By 1am Sunday morning it had only dropped to 27 degrees.

Between 2am and 10am temps hovered between 18-20 degrees.

It's since dropped to 10 degrees between 11am and 1pm. That's seventeen degrees lower than at 1am.

And winds are still NW, the change hasn't arrived yet.

Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 2:26pm

Change came in at like 1030

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 2:41pm

That was a weak event preceding the main change which is trailing well behind (currently WNW Cape Otway). Though the temp drop was impressive.

Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 3:11pm

Not disagreeing but whats weak about gusts of 7 knots increasing to 40 within the hour?

South channel. Not Cape Otway.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 3:21pm

Sorry, poor choice of words. Meant shallow/temporary, as the strong winds only lasted a few hours.

PLStocks's picture
PLStocks's picture
PLStocks Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 1:29pm

It's a shame there was no swell tho

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 1:37pm

Saturday was very fun on a floaty board in the warm conditions. I wondered if another swell was in the water... Finding a solo sand/rock patch and some great little shape. No one else paddled over, I'll take that.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 2:16pm

Yeah should have been a mix of easing SW swell and a minor short period SE swell.

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 2:28pm

Thanks Ben, it warped and wedged a little. Big gaps between bigger waves.

The temperature change has been huge today, and that it remained so (relatively) hot so late has made today all the more interesting. Gusty NW flow and cumulus now.

Oh yeah, calm wind and hot about 5:30am with the smell of bushfire in the air, I think there was a fire down Yuulong on the GOR. Very dry in the region currently - when wind change did go through this morning it did so without rain, that is the one to watch for. Temps started dropping and some rain came later.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Sunday, 17 Nov 2024 at 2:48pm

How’s the flies! Going beserk!