That trough then deepens o/night Sat into Sun with a building trend in S-S/SE swell under fresh/strong winds from the same direction.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/22/large-stormy-surf-forming-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 22 November 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/20/quiet-week-ahead-swell-sources-the-weekend
freeride76
Monday, 20 November 2023
Into the weekend and we should see an increase in NE-E/NE swell on Sat from winds feeding into a trough near the Gippsland coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/17/strong-s-swell-sun-another-pulse-later-next
freeride76
Friday, 17 November 2023
Sun is a different story as strong, long period S swells from a storm force system in the Southern Ocean make landfall.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/15/more-long-period-s-swell-ahead-sun
freeride76
Wednesday, 15 November 2023
Another deep low is expected to bomb under the continent and send more long period groundswell our way late this weekend under a continuing unstable, trough pattern.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/13/strong-s-swell-pulses-ahead
freeride76
Monday, 13 November 2023
The continent is unstable with a heat trough over NWWA and more troughs extending from the interior through to the East Coast. A deep low and powerful frontal system with a long trailing fetch is currently traversing the lower Tasman, generating long period S swells.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/10/strong-ne-windswell-peaks-sat-sly-swells-next
freeride76
Friday, 10 November 2023
No great change to the weekend f/cast. The N’ly fetch reaches peak strength o/night and into Sat morning with a corresponding peak in NE windswell expected.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/08/active-period-ahead-sizey-ne-winds-swell-and
freeride76
Wednesday, 8 November 2023
A weak ridge up the sub-tropics has a lighter E’ly flow with stronger N-NE winds south of the MNC down to the South Coast and Tasmania. We’ll see this pattern persist with increasing NE windswell across NE Tas this week. A strong frontal progression is expected to provide a series of S swells next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/06/plenty-workable-ne-windswell-biggest-late-in
freeride76
Monday, 6 November 2023
The high initially weakens with a lighter onshore flow before re-strengthening as it approaches New Zealand and has the pressure gradient tightened on the western flank by the complex trough systems. That will produce a N’ly flow, expected to increase as the week goes on with increasing NE windswell late in the week and early weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/03/ne-windswell-next-week-looking-solid-the-end
freeride76
Friday, 3 November 2023
Into next week and the main story is a large high moving into the Tasman and becoming slow moving, setting up a summer-style blocking pattern with developing NE winds and NE windswell, becoming solid by the end of the week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/01/not-much-interest-short-term-extended-ne
freeride76
Wednesday, 1 November 2023
Under current modelling this should be an extended event as the N'ly fetch persists and actually increases later next week.
