These winds will coalesce later today into a more organised fetch of S-SE gales as the system slowly tracks southwards then S/SE. As a result we’ll see elevated wave heights from the E/SE-S/SE right into mid-week, augmented by some long range S/SE groundswell from another ice shelf fetch in the Ross Sea region adjacent to Antarctica.
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By Sun we’ll see a low forming off the South Coast with a strong SE infeed along the southern flank of the low. That will see strong S/SE winds through Sun and building swells from the same direction.
We’ll see surf from this NE-E/NE infeed propagate from the sub-tropics down to temperate regions over the weekend, eventually generating swells for NETas as a surface low forms from the trough off the south coast of NSW and moves towards Bass Strait.
A good but inconsistent S/SE groundswell for tomorrow looks to be the highlight of the week.
Into next week and Tues offers some potential with models picking up some long period S/SE groundswell generated by a slow moving polar low around the edge of the Antarctic ice shelf in the vicinity of the Ross Sea.
A building N/NE swell with improving offshore winds should provide great surf tomorrow.
The coming week looks to be the best of the period.
SW gales push through Bass Strait and adjacent to the Tasmanian East Coast Sun night and into Mon.
To the south we are seeing strong, but zonal frontal activity which will impact the Island state with local winds and S swells later next week.
Action from the south is on the radar for next week, after an extended period of tropical action dies down. First cab off the rank is a frontal system and trough which looks to push across Tas later Sun into the Tasman o/night into Mon.