The best low for Northern NSW/SE Qld surfers is already sitting just north of New Zealand, and is generating E’ly swells that will feed into Sunday’s mix and provide solid 4ft waves across most exposed coasts, holding into Monday.
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The models have moved around quite a bit for the short term. But there are positives to glean.
We've got a large, windy outlook from Friday through the weekend.
During this time, models are suggesting a small trough of low pressure will bud off the inland low and drift into the Coral Sea off the SEQLD Coast, which enhances the SE flow through SEQLD, extending down into NENSW by Tues, although winds will remain E/NE-NE south of Coffs.
A small trough of low pressure has stalled off Seal Rocks with a SE infeed south of the trough expected to ease over the next 24 hrs and a light/variable flow north of the trough. Apart from this short-range feature, which is whipping up some local, short range swell for Central/Southern NSW extending up to the MNC, pressure gradients in the Tasman and Coral Seas remain very weak.
The current synoptic situation has a Groundhog Day feel to it, with another very weak high pressure cell in the Tasman (1019hPa), directing a mod N’ly flow along the temperate NSW coastline, with a weakening Tradewind flow in the Coral Sea contracting northwards.
Further ahead and we have a dynamic outlook on the cards. An inland low and trough - a hybrid monsoonal feature- looks to approach the NSW coast, with a strengthening NE infeed into the system.
The outlook for next week is…….awesome if you are a kid or learning to surf. Day after day of small surf from the E and light winds.
Very weak pressure gradients in the Tasman and Coral Seas as we count down 2024.
Fresh N’lies bring some workable NE windswell for the keen, up to the 2-3ft range. N’lies will blow all day in SEQLD with a trough bringing a S’ly change to Coffs around early morning, late a’noon across the North Coast .