NE swell turns to S swell as deep low forms in Tasman over the weekend
We’re now looking at a very significant S swell early next week as a deep low sits off the South or Gippsland Coast with severe gales to storm force winds aimed into the proximate southern swell window.
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Comments
Great forecast, very interesting cross seasonal dynamics. That Tasman low looks massive, looks like a southern ocean size gyration.
Question: Why is the Tasman low not called an ECL?
It may end up being an ECL Hamish- sometimes can't make that determination until after it forms.
Thanks, will watch with interest.
Dirty, brown, smelly, small, mushy, onshore filth with shit banks.
I didn’t check the report but I assume that’s what it says for Ballina still.
That tasman low looks like something that we would see midwinter. Super keen for it.
I get confused with all the dynamics of what swell angles push sand where, but am I right in saying that a big south swell could be beneficial for the sand along the gold coast points?
Interesting. The NE swell is not great for the shitty banks, but the South is. Still, there's no sand at Dbah or Froggies anyway so nothing to move around the corner yet
Could shave off that annoying protuberance near Rainbow?
The northward flowing current that arises from S swells should hopefully bring some nice sand around from the letitia side, but as you said, who knows what mother nature has planned with both the NE and S swell combination.
Ballina is putrid right now with those onshores holding the Blackwater against the coast.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-03-28/search-for-missing-qld-police-off...
Terrible news..
Absolutely torrential again up here in the SC hinterland. Hope the winds get a bit of west in them tonight. Suspect the water isn’t going to look that inviting tomorrow. But I suppose our rivers aren’t as mighty as N NSW, so hopefully won’t be too dirty.
I haven't seen rain like that here for quite a while. Feel sorry for those who've already had to clean up 2 weeks ago. My gut says there'll be some fun waves around tomorrow morning. It's already beginning to clear up now.
Already offshore on the Sunnie Coast
Should be nice and clean by tomorrow! It will be interesting to see what size it is - seems like it might drop off here much more quickly than the Goldie and south
Yeah, period’s not great.
3ft poo junk, gonna die real quick I reckon.
banks are horrid
Fun 4ft plus dirty waves with a light offshore. Tide slightly too high for good barrels but good to feel some juice! Very crowded but looking forward to the week to come.
No banks here and the wind was already up from the south.
So close, yet so far.
fun waves this morning , bit ugly early but cleaned right up, sc
Yep, some good waves to be had.
I never want to surf with whoever said the Goldie was 6/10 today...
Tell me about it. Thinking it’s AI doing the reports nowadays
Without wanting to go down the 'rating' rabbit hole again....
FWIW, Gold Coast surf reports cover everywhere from D'Bah to the Spit. The surf was looking very good across many of the beachies yesterday, though it was different to normal. And sure, the sand across the points is misplaced at the moment, but Burleigh was looking super fun and D'Bah-esque.
4-5ft surf, light offshore winds and sunny skies (following five days of incessant rain and driving onshores), and... given the generally poor season we've had, relatively speaking, I reckon 6/10 is pretty well in the ballpark.
Had Sunday's surf followed a few weeks of mindless easterly trade swells with perfectly groomed banks, then it'd perhaps have been a four or a five.
i disagree with your reason / logic. just because it was semi offshore with a decent swell, if the banks are no good and the surf is crap, the rating should be consistent with that. what youre saying is that because its been shit recently, a half decent morning suddenly gets a 6/10? if it had been great recently you would have only given a 4 or 5? doesnt make sense. give the rating on what its like today, not a comparison to how its been recently which is too subjective. ive had way better surfs when its been a 4/10. maybe the reporter saw something we didnt, but everywhere i checked live or by cam was not worthy of that rating,
Like I said, Burleigh was looking unreal on Sunday morning. Sure, it wasn't the usual Burleigh set up but it was still very good.
Rating the surf out of ten is ridiculous anyway, as I have had to point out many, many times before. It's flawed in so many ways, and seems to attract a disproportionate amount of attention relative to the rest of the services we provide.
It was pretty chunky, very clean 4 foot barrels where i surfed. Worthy of the 6/10. Uncrowded. A moderate WNW-W wind and 3-4 foot of E-NEish swell limits the locations anyway. I thought the morning surf was really good but maybe just got lucky with the bank I surfed.
Pretty strong swell here today- bit slow but 4-5ft on the sets with plenty of grunt.
Wave quality still very mediocre though due to lack of banks.
A day that got better as the swell eased and sorted itself out.
Bottom line is NE is rarely a reliable direction for quality swell unless it’s a cyclone
I'd push back against that.
Those NE-E/NE swells from winds feeding into a trough are excellent swell producers- especially when winds shift offshore.
Problem was sandbanks, not swell or wind.
100% These are the best swell producers.
Good points, I withdraw my comment. I also heard that there were some excellent waves around the place yesterday.
Surf looked quite good today but the water is filthy. I'm not surfing while the water looks like a chocolate milkshake.
Nice morning! Looking good as the tide drops out later
I found some nice waves for the dawny- still some sets.
Yep nice and clean this morning here. A touch less size than yesterday but a lot more organised. Peaky with the 2 diff swells in the water as well.
+1
There were still some nugs this morning. Day 2 of swell bender in the books. At least two more days to go!
Yesterday my local on the southern side of the SC between 1pm-2pm was nothing short of pumping, full on 4ft makeable barrels with plenty of push, sandbanks are unreal!
Noice!
One of the nicer sunrises of the year this morning, with perfect winds and an organised swell. The high tide wasn't great for the point I was on, but still super fun.