Significant L-XL S swell now on the radar as deep low forms in Tasman over the weekend

That was a great read Steve with the morning coffee.
"Line of best fit" - quasi regression analysis, love it.
"Democratic" - election being called today
"Serious lumber" - almost wood collection time for us down south

One question, will there be some leftover NE swell to pad out the very protected southern corners on Monday?

Great pickup on that polar low last week Steve. It flew completely passed my radar,and being an avid,would be surf forecaster,left me bewildered.

Sundays fun day of ENE swell and all day offshores has been blasted!

You certainly earned your pay with that analysis Steve. Every kind of possible swell in the next week it looks like.

I just pushed a minor surgery back a week....

I'd like to request a flat spell after this please

This is the swell our banks definitely need a 10-15ft demolition/renovation makeover..send it Huey send it hhhhuey…………..

Love your work Steve. The best in the business for mine.

Wow im excited for my birthday present next week. Another year older I hope I survive.

Great write up Steve, we finally have banks here too, probably about to be destroyed lol. But will be interesting to see how it all pans out.

Thanks for the massive surf forecast Steve. ....Alfred's bigger brother will be serving up deadmans dinner for the brave & ... nooks for the family

Possibly a few sleepless punters in Merimbula Monday night....

Now sad I am working til 11 tomorrow and will probably miss the best of the NE swell

Cracking waves this arvo clean fun 3ft NE. swell ..everyone scored

Had a swim at ocean baths Friday. Couldn’t believe it, more blueys plus the blue nudibranchs. Worst summer ever for blueys, it’s the end of March FFS!

On other matters, it’s dead calm out here now (Saturday arvo). Barely a breath of wind. Must be something out offshore as the NE swell is showing at the eastern beaches local. Plenty of punters out there for how dirty the water must be.

lol - this article is premium read only. I could read weather charts when i was a kid....

when i was 15yo i predicted a swell three days out using the old B&W newspaper charts. i got to the beach that day just on dawn. it was too big at the 6 to 8 feet north end for me and there were already 30 kooks sheltered in 3 foot kiddies corner at the south end of the beach. i spied a bank in the middle of the beach and tried to paddle out but got washed in. then i saw a knee boarder paddle out 50 metres further south so i paddled out thru that rip and made it out. but when i made it out, the kneeboarder was no where to be seen. he paddled to the south end with the kooks but i padded north onto the bank i spotted. then a set, maybe 12 feet on the face, came in and i stroked onto it just to have a look. but the wave unexpectedly capped with foam and pushed me into it. note: i was a basic surfer for a 15 year old. anyway, i stood up and was surfing down this easy face but as i approached the bottom of the wave it towered & lurched onto the sand bank. by fluke i did the perfect bottom turn then moved my front forward onto the board, doing these pumps in this gaping cavern. I thought/felt i was Larry Blair on my McCoy. The wave threw a freaking mile right over and broke with the loudest thud. I'd never heard anything like that in my young life. I came flying out and tried to do a cutback but was so manic i fell off. as i gathered my board this surfer with a twin fin jumped off the concrete promenade and was pumping one arm in the air at my wave, running down the beach, towards me. he paddled out to join me and was freaking ripping wave after wave after wave. it look me another hour to get another wave and then i went in when the wind turned onshore. anyway, that was my swell prediction story. the wave was a total fluke, a bit like Mick Fanning's 6.5 roll in at Pipe that was scored a 9.5 and a world title possibly so Quiksilver didn't have to pay Kelly a $12 million bonus for winning a 12th world title. its funny but that was one of the most memorable waves of my life; even though it was a complete fluke (because i did not have the ability to make a drop like that without a roll in; a bit like Mick & Joel struggled in the 2013 semi-finals at Pipe against John & Kelly who toyed with the vertical throwing lips).

anyway, i hope this swell this week turns on. i'm not a contender (due to repairing some old injuries) but hopefully will venture out to a secret slab i and my friend exclusively surfed for many years and hopefully watch some surfing there if its on. haven't been out there for years but i'm now residing again in the area cuz i gotta look after mum. hopefully i post some videos. the more south/SE in the swell, the better & more makeable at big size. i love it out there, on that headland, just rocks & ocean. i nearly died out there at 14yo thus i love the place. peaceful.

Can you believe I have worked 24 weeks with only Christmas Day off and I have 3 days off between projects and I luck into this.

I feel so blessed.

Swells definitely arriving…got an early in at a little reef that loves a NE swell…by the end of the surf S swells were crossing up the NE and giving it a nasty end section shut down.
Quite fun to see it happen in real time.

Swell jumped quickly mid today..watched one bloke get caught out stuck out back ..nice 3ft NE. swell then the south swells arrived..it was bombing around him he kept paddling further out to avoid getting smashed..then the sets finally got him ..only a young kid I found later ..he was rattled , good on him for having a crack

Bom.. Bor.. Ra
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onomatopoeia

By golly wally it got damn big just after midday even a little dangerous really undergunned for
a while then settled down and more manageable still very solid with the some sets around 8ft.
More enjoyable and more rideable for the elderly. Ended up a good 3hour plus session.
Happy birthday week for me with this swell.

Low pressure has not slid south east as forecast. Staying off the coast between Sydney and Cennie Coast.

Onshore and horrible down in Kiama, where I just happen to find myself.

And raining consistently.

Quenscliff Cam Replay 5;45am
Photo collection

'How do you like them onions?'

Wash throughs, plenty of activity in the water and knifing drops on the gun…

Swell ramped up bigtime at local around 1130am yesterday, but so blown out not a soul out, it did look scary. Hunted around near home and even contemplated a 30 minute paddle to get to a not so good spot that a few punters were on but last time I did that, I ended up paddling around for 90 minutes for one close out.. So got into the car, 15 minute drive to spot down here I knew would work with the wind and yesterday's East swell direction and ended up sharing it with 30-40 others haha.