A trough line connected to the low remains angled SW/NE in the Tasman with a N-N/NE infeed along the trough line. With the movement of the low into the coast, winds on the southern flank are now out of the swell window so we’ll be relying on the NE infeed into the trough and potential small lows forming in the trough line for swells in the short term once the current S'ly swell fades out.
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A broad high pressure system in the north-eastern Tasman Sea has a reasonable trade flow atop its northern flank.
With the low near Bass Strait we should have an offshore outflow across most of the region- so offshore winds all day. A fun blend of S-S/SE and E/NE swells will be on hand.
A pair of weak cold fronts are expected to pass over Tasmania in the short term, generating small S swells which will overlap with the last pulses coming from the polar low now SE of New Zealand. A dynamic, troughy pattern looks set to unfold over the weekend.
High pressure is approaching Tasmania with a weak trough expected to linger in the Tasman and across the North Coast over the weekend and lead to mostly light breezes, especially Sun. A complex polar low is approaching the NZ corridor and although the frontal progression looks a notch less favourable for swell production up the East Coast we’ll still see S’ly groundswell pulses over the weekend
Local swell sources dry up but polar lows better aimed at Pacific targets will send some long period S swell up the pipe over the weekend and early next week before a more subdued outlook takes hold.
The remnants of the weekend’s low pressure trough are currently being reinforced by another cold front and expected to form a broad low pressure system in the Tasman in the short term which will supply some fun waves this week with an easing trend into the weekend.
Big and windy for Sun with fresh to strong SW-S winds early, tending strong S’ly all day.
Backed by a strong high we’ll see very tight coastal pressure gradients with strong to potentially gale force S’lies Sat and a large windy S swell.
We’ll see some small S/SE-SE swell as the new high pressure ridge builds a windfield in the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman but this will be smaller and weaker than previous swells of this ilk