The big ticket item presently is the complex trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a proximate fetch of strong winds with embedded low end E’ly quarter gales aimed directly at the Mid North Coast.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/05/fun-ely-swell-replaced-much-stronger
freeride76
Wednesday, 5 April 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/04/03/much-more-active-outlook-leading-and
freeride76
Monday, 3 April 2023
A small closed low forming in the trough off the Mid North Coast then slowly retracts eastwards as we head into the Easter weekend. Winds are going to be a bit tricky but we’ll have plenty of E/NE-E swell to play with this week as this E’ly fetch forms up.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/30/s-swells-do-the-work-weekend-quiet-times
freeride76
Friday, 31 March 2023
An upgrade is now expected for Sat as the low east of Tasmania deepened and produced a longer and stronger fetch of SSW winds extending north and south of Tasmanian latitudes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/28/small-s-swell-pulses-continue-more
freeride76
Wednesday, 29 March 2023
A front sweeping in behind the trough is bringing a clearing W’ly flow through temperate NSW today, reaching the sub-tropics tomorrow. A belt of high pressure below the continent is now weakening and setting us up for a more benign pattern compared to Mondays notes. Small S swell pulses are on the menu from this frontal activity.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/27/tricky-troughy-pattern-week-few-flukey
freeride76
Monday, 27 March 2023
A small trough of low pressure off the Gippsland coast is replaced by another trough system later in the week. Far to the south of this hot, soupy mess a series of stronger polar lows are traversing the Far Southern Ocean, supplying some small pulses of S swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/23/eyes-the-south-next-week-very-uncertain
freeride76
Friday, 24 March 2023
Long period S swells will be the dominant swell trains next week as a series of deep low traverse the far southern Tasman Sea and become slow moving in New Zealand longitudes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/22/ordinary-in-the-short-term-lots
freeride76
Wednesday, 22 March 2023
High pressure has now moved into the Tasman, weakening rapidly as it does so. In the south a small trough of low pressure off the Gippsland coast is aiding a N-NE flow through temperate NSW. In the Coral Sea a monsoon trough remains active with a persistent but unspectacular trade-wind flow maintaining a small E swell signal. The remnants of a low near the South Island are now dissipating after a final flare up yesterday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/20/stronger-the-s-weaker-the-e-plenty-wind
freeride76
Monday, 20 March 2023
Compared to Fridays notes the front/low in the Southern Tasman is a stronger system while the tradewind pattern is weaker and more disjointed. That will see S quadrant swells dominate through most of the week through temperate NSW, with a smaller tradewind swell signal north of Coffs Harbour.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/17/plenty-wind-work-around-next-week
Plenty of wind to work around next week but windows for the keen with swells from around the compass
freeride76
Friday, 17 March 2023
Low pressure centres well to the East of Fiji (near American Samoa), west of Fiji and NW of New Caledonia will all chug away on a long tradewind belt setting up presently and enhanced by a dominant high pressure cell moving SE of Tasmania early next week. Better positioned for the sub-tropics but E/NE swell will filter down the East Coast next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2023/03/15/get-in-quick-it-all-disappears-mixed
thermalben
Wednesday, 15 March 2023
A pair of tropical disturbances straddling the Fijian region are part of an evolving atmospheric dynamic that will concurrently occupy the Coral Sea, Northern Tasman and South Pacific basins over the coming days.
