Classic late Summer pattern sets up this weekend with high pressure straddling New Zealand, a monsoon trough strung across Northern Australia extending into the South Pacific and a long, broad tradewind fetch between the two broadscale atmospheric features. The fetch is so broad and long and super-charged by low pressure embedded along the Northern Flank that we’ll see quite an energetic E’ly swell build over the weekend and extend into most of next week.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/03/06/s-swells-easing
freeride76
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/03/04/sizey-s-swells-en
freeride76
Monday, 4 March 2024
Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a long fetch of severe gales in the southern swell window and wave buoys are all in an aggressive upwards curve as strong S swells build along the Southern NSW Coastline. We’ll see strong pulses of swell from this system until Thurs with easing leftovers until the end of the working week. To the north an extended trade-wind fetch is setting up through the week with another long playing E’ly swell event from that pattern, favouring the sub-tropics for size.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/03/01/deep-low-in-the
freeride76
Friday, 1 March 2024
Models are holding steady on a winter calibre low tracking well to the south- south-east of Tasmania during Sun and traversing the far Southern Tasman through Mon. That will send a strong, long period S swell up the pipe.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/28/quiet-spell-sizey
freeride76
Wednesday, 28 February 2024
Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/26/surf-easing-back
freeride76
Monday, 26 February 2024
The high cell is weak so we’re looking at a fairly uninspiring end to Summer, with some mid week NE windswell for Southern NSW and small background E swells for the sub-tropics. After that quiet spell extends into the start of Autumn a stronger frontal intrusion into the Tasman looks likely next week with some robust S swell accompanying it.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/23/east-swells
freeride76
Friday, 23 February 2024
High pressure in the Bight with a trough moving up the coast and robust low (974hPa) moving under Tasmania sets the scene for the weekend.To the East the tradewind belt is contracting and weakening after a month of action.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/21/rinse-and-repeat
thermalben
Wednesday, 21 February 2024
Make the most of Thursday, as we’ve got northerlies on the menu for Friday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/19/more-fun-trade
thermalben
Monday, 19 February 2024
Our recent source of trade swell is expected to muscle up a little over the coming days.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/16/ely-swell-keeps
freeride76
Friday, 16 February 2024
High pressure belt remains strong with cells lined up to enter the Tasman. A monsoonal low in the Gulf of Carpenteria is generating a long cloud band down the east coast. A long, broad E’ly tradewind fetch extends from the Coral Sea into the South Pacific with the tail of the fetch in Tahitian longitudes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2024/02/14/e-swell-rebuilds
freeride76
Wednesday, 14 February 2024
Multiple cells of reinforcing high pressure then one by one move into the Tasman, maintaining a weak ridge up the NSW Coast and a deep E’ly flow through the South Pacific and Eastern Coral Sea, with resulting E’ly swells favouring the sub-tropics for size, with a rebuild in size expected later this week.
