Synoptic pattern still has a ground-hog day feel to it, with a large, slow moving high inching it’s way across the Tasman and a coastal trough lying parallel to almost the entire East Coast. Change is on the way though.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/25/clean-conditions-combination-swells-nice
freeride76
Wednesday, 25 May 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/23/flukey-swells-the-s-and-light-winds-week
Flukey swells from the S and light winds this week, with more energy from the E/NE later in the week
freeride76
Monday, 23 May 2022
Sub-tropical troughs and the remnants of TC Gina near New Caledonia are maintaining a deep E’ly flow through the Coral Sea while the last in a series of powerful cold fronts are now sweeping up past the South Island of New Zealand with small S to SSE swell pulses to come over the next couple of days from this source.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/20/continuing-pulses-the-s-some-unfriendly
freeride76
Friday, 20 May 2022
The frontal progression responsible for the S swell pulses over the last couple of days is now on the New Zealand side of the Tasman, with a large high approaching Tasmania setting up a firm ridge along the coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/18/plenty-s-swell-incoming-nice-long-tail
freeride76
Wednesday, 18 May 2022
A series of cold fronts with embedded troughs are now steaming into the Tasman Sea, anchored by a deep polar low which provided large swells for Victoria and New Zealand’s West Coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/16/strong-s-swells-thurs-winds-the-se
freeride76
Monday, 16 May 2022
Stronger fronts push up into the Tasman from later Wed, bringing a SW flow and bigger S swell as we head to the end of the week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/13/plenty-fun-waves-over-the-weekend-more
freeride76
Friday, 13 May 2022
No great change to the weekend f/cast. The fetch of deep E to E/NE winds in the Coral and Northern Tasman Sea is contracting northwards around a surface low off the CQ/Fraser coast, and expected to fizzle out over the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/11/downgraded-still-chunky-ne-swell
freeride76
Wednesday, 11 May 2022
No great changes to the front end of this weather/surf event, which is starting to kick into gear now. The latter stages have been wound back a few notches, reducing the expected wave heights over the peak of the swell, so let’s take a look at it.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/09/plenty-chunky-ne-swell-and-wind-ahead
freeride76
Monday, 9 May 2022
A large high is now moving into the Tasman Sea and strengthening- that will be the main synoptic feature this week- setting up a deep ridge and a strong E’ly pattern through the Tasman Sea. Further north an interior upper trough and potential coastal trough/surface low will combine to drive an intense E/NE to NE wind flow through the Coral and Northern Tasman Sea.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/06/pleasant-conditions-and-surf-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 6 May 2022
That high will set up a ridge through the week and essentially be the “anvil” for any trough or low pressure development in the Tasman or Coral Sea. A coastal trough off SEQLD/Fraser Coast and interior upper trough combine through the start of next week to increase SE/E winds, initially in the Coral Sea.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/05/04/fun-clean-waves-the-short-term-wind-rain
thermalben
Wednesday, 4 May 2022
We’ve got more of the same for the next few days, if anything with a slight improvement on the surface as a frontal passage brings westerly winds to the coast.
