Forecast: 2025 Gold Coast Pro

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)
Form Guide

Gold Coast Pro
May 3rd - 13th, 2025

This Saturday we’ll see the Gold Coast Pro return to Snapper Rocks...I mean Burleigh Heads.

With the WSL's return to Snapper Rocks announced and anticipated, Tropical Cyclone Alfred threw a spanner in the works, rearranging the perfect right pointbreak into a fragmented mess of a wave. A huge sand slug was dumped north of the point, creating a very poor right hander and slightly better left, while Snapper itself was stripped of sand, better for fishing than surfing.

The misshapen sand is slowly sorting itself out, however the WSL took early action knowing it wouldn't be ready in time. Thus the decision was made to move the event to Burleigh Heads and the quality of the bank there isn’t too shabby at all.

Burleigh sparkling (WSL)

So what’s in store for the coming event window?

Plenty of easterly trade-swell - possibly even too much at times - with multiple opportunities to run the event.

The source of the easterly swell will be a strong high pressure system filling out into the Tasman Sea later this week and into the weekend as a couple of low pressure troughs squeeze its north-eastern flank.

An initial surge of strong south-east winds through the Tasman Sea on Thursday and Friday should generate a good pulse of 3 foot mid-period south-east swell for Saturday, the opening day of the waiting period. Conditions will be clean through the early-to-mid morning with a gusty S/SW breeze, deteriorating from later morning as winds shift more south-east and strengthens. 

Sand aside, the mid-morning wind switch will be the biggest difference between Snapper and Burleigh, with Snapper through to Rainbow better angled to handle a south-east wind than Burleigh with its more exposed headland.

As the weekend progresses, the strong high is due to continue moving slowly east, while tropical instability to the north will squeeze pressure gradients, setting up a broad, elongated fetch of easterly trade-winds that will slowly retract to the east along with the movement of the high.

This is a great setup to provide consistent, moderate levels of easterly trade-swell to the Queensland coast, with initially weak, low period energy on Sunday, again in the 3 foot range, expected to slowly strengthen and increase in size through next week.

At this stage we should see the trade-swell reaching 4-5 feet through early-mid next week and persisting at this size for the entire event window, though there’s the possibility for further intensifications which would boost the swell into the large size range. We'll keep a close eye on those developments so check back in.

As the high and easterly trade-fetch slowly retract to the east, local winds will back off in strength and become more favourable, though still following the general pattern of morning south-southwesterlies ahead of fresh afternoon south-easterlies.

The main question is, will the organisers get a quick start and run in smaller cross-shore surf this weekend, or focus on the better quality easterly trade-swell next week onwards? We're tipping more towards the latter than the former.

We’ll provide running updates on any upgrades in next week’s swell in the commentary below.

16-Day Gold Coast Forecast Graph
16-Day Gold Coast WAMs

Comments

J W's picture
J W's picture
J W Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 9:35am

Thanks for the forecast, it really feels like this is the first time we’ve had a relatively promising one in about two years

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 9:47am

There will be waves, it’ll be consistent and I think that’s really all you need.

I do think the short period and fragmented nature of Burleigh may not necessarily lend itself to the traditional point surfers. I’m sure the air boys will be well in the mix.

Place looks quite deep on the high also. Beachie and cove seem to be able to handle it. Morning lows should coincide nicely with the lighter winds.

Should be an enjoyable one. Nice to see different locales. The Woz will dine out on drone shots of the headland and talle. Such a beautiful place. Thanks Craig.

zenagain's picture
zenagain's picture
zenagain Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 9:49am

Should see the performance bar lifted for this comp, Very promising by the sounds of it.

Ethan and LOB to shine.

Kanoa will do well too.

BarbB's picture
BarbB's picture
BarbB Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 9:57am

I guessed this wave was at Burleigh.

?si=lyerLt3UjKSQMDGv

https://juliettejade.bandcamp.com/track/dawn

BarbB's picture
BarbB's picture
BarbB Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 10:17am

Pick the winning forecast for 12 May 2025?

tiger's picture
tiger's picture
tiger Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 10:23am

Be interesting to see how it pans out. The forecast is pretty much ideal if it were any other time and snapper had a decent sand set-up. Not sold on the state of burleighs banks, they look pretty horrible to me. Disjointed but long if that's a thing. Think it would prefer more SE angle on the swell to run along the bank more. E swell looks a bit straight onto the bank. Looking more like beachies style waves than point break. As mentioned elsewhere Burleigh has been a shadow of its former self for years now. Old school Burleigh would've been pumping on this
forecast.

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:13am

Forecast would have been incredible if snapper had banks. Unfortunately the banks at Burleigh are only just passable right now. Still there will be fun waves and the setup is HUGE. Going to be a fun weekend and i can't wait. Burleigh is a great place for a surf comp.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:24am

Yeah I love Burleigh as a venue. I'm not into cricket, but it seems to have that same vibe as The Hill at Adelaide Oval.

basesix's picture
basesix's picture
basesix Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 1:29pm

don't have to enjoy cricket to enjoy The Hill ; )
(whatta buzz, looking promising, cheers craig)

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:34am

The crowds have arrived already. Italo apparently out yesterday early. I saw Kanoa this morning. Small fun waves around. Should be a lot of fun to watch.

newdog's picture
newdog's picture
newdog Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:40am

Can't wait will be up there next week.

@Roadkill if staying at Cooly easier to just get a bus rather than drive and find parking?

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:41am

Yeah Newdoggy, get a bus 100% Parking will be torture.

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:58am

100% bus. Parking is atrocious now. Lots of construction for the light rail has removed a lot of parking spots. Lots of diversions and lanes taken out is the current situation.
I got down this morning just before 5 and there was only a couple of parks left.

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 11:51am

Double post

Standingleft's picture
Standingleft's picture
Standingleft Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 12:12pm

I asked in the Bells thread, where are you going to go to find a better competition venue than Bells Beach?
Burleigh Heads - it was hectic fun back in The Stubbies days on the hill. The wave broke along the rocks then though..
Send it Huey

memlasurf's picture
memlasurf's picture
memlasurf Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 1:00pm

Wow low numbers on the swell 8 seconds? I have never seen a swell in VIC with those numbers, so are you reliant on deep water to the bank to give it a bit of oomph?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 1:01pm

The East Coast loves these mid-period swells, less continental shelf, loss of energy to bottom friction etc.

pigdog's picture
pigdog's picture
pigdog Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 at 1:46pm

whenever i hear "burleigh heads" all i can think of is butt implants, lip collagen injection, botox, carpark drama in that order. and question myself is this the origional birthplace of the bogan.