A large 1031 hPa high straddling Tasmania ( no longer a peanut high) is extending a deep E’ly flow along the f/cast region. TC Fili has weakened and is drifting southwards to the SE now of New Caledonia, anchored by a long fetch of E’ly winds from the cradling high. That equals lots of East swell through the coming days, but we’ve still got some onshore winds to slog through.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/08/onshore-winds-easing-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 8 April 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/06/few-mucky-days-onshore-wind-ahead
freeride76
Wednesday, 6 April 2022
TC Fili is expected to track into the slot and stall- roughly equidistant between New Caledonia, the North Island and the East Coast of Australia. At some stage it will lose intensity and become extra-tropical but even as an ex TC the overall cradling fetch of E’ly winds is going to supply days of E’ly swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/04/lots-swell-ahead-few-days-onshore-wind
freeride76
Monday, 4 April 2022
It's a classic "Summer" looking synoptic pattern and indicative of the La Nina pattern hanging on.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/01/large-s-swell-settles-down-quickly
freeride76
Friday, 1 April 2022
That will offer a window of improving conditions at Big Wave Spots, albeit under strong offshore conditions, which will make any offshore bombies hard to ride.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/30/big-and-windy-waves-ahead-options-big
freeride76
Wednesday, 30 March 2022
A trough of low pressure associated with the current sub-tropical low deepens rapidly through tomorrow in response to the influx of cold air, forming a storm force low pressure system off the NSW Central Coast overnight Thursday into Friday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/28/couple-smaller-days-ahead-storm-force
freeride76
Monday, 28 March 2022
OK, it’s going to be a wild week so lets look at the moving parts and sketch out the order of events, whilst acknowledging that it will be a highly dynamic outlook requiring fine tuning as the troughs, front, upper trough and expected eventual storm force surface low all interact.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/25/tricky-troughy-outlook-the-weekend-major
freeride76
Friday, 25 March 2022
This is then augmented by a major front pushing into the Tasman, merging with the surface low to create a large area of low pressure in the Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/23/onshore-winds-setting-in-few-small
freeride76
Wednesday, 23 March 2022
The trough is connected to a parent low pushing through the lower Tasman, but the combination of short period SE and longer period S swells will be marred by an onshore flow for most of this week and the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/21/lots-funky-wind-changes-week-small-surf
freeride76
Monday, 21 March 2022
In the short run and an elongated “bubble” high sits along the NSW coast through tomorrow, bringing a cracker of a day with light offshore breezes which will tend N/NE through the day.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/18/swell-the-s-weekend-and-next-week-some
freeride76
Friday, 18 March 2022
That front then forms a low, which becomes slow moving as it tracks NE towards the North Island. Swell is incoming from the front and the low, generating swell from the southern quadrant over the weekend and into next week.
