Of more importance is the first pulse in a series of long range E’ly swells due to occupy the region for the next four or five days.
Primary tabs
Oh jeez, this is a tricky forecast.
As discussed for all of last week, we’ve got a proper East Coast Low developing off the NSW coast early next week, in the wake of a gusty southerly change pushing across southern NSW.
The surf outlook for the next few days is relatively simple - basically a slow easing trend from the S/SE, with winds around to the northern quadrant south of the border.
The south swell currently building across Southern NSW is expected to reach a peak across most northern regions on Tuesday morning, possibly even through the middle of the day in SE Qld.
Easing south swell is the general expectation for the weekend.
The developing low off the southern NSW coast right now will be a strong focal point for the next few days.
The models have upgraded this system a little since Friday’s notes were prepared, but there’s a lot of complexity surrounding its influence for Northern NSW and (especially) SE Qld.
Sunday’s surf prospects in Northern NSW mirror that of SE Qld, but probably with a little more size potential.
On Easter Friday, the weakening trades across our swell window will also occur across the coast, which is great news as it means a much improved overall outlook for SE Qld surf conditions under light variable tending onshore winds.