A strong high is now slipping in underneath Tasmania and the combination of the decaying ex cyclone, developing high pressure ridge and an interior trough is creating a long, broad fetch E/NE winds extending from New Caledonia down into the Central Tasman Sea.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/01/05/surf-slowly-easing-the-ene-onshore-winds
freeride76
Wednesday, 5 January 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/01/03/lots-swell-and-wind-the-ene-ne-week
freeride76
Monday, 3 January 2022
Swell from ex TC Seth, which transitioned into a gale force sub-tropical low Sun is the major synoptic feature this week, responsible for both swell production and directing gradient winds as it slowly weakens and meanders close to the NENSW/SEQLD coast for the next few days.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/31/lots-surf-the-ene-e-next-week-tropical
freeride76
Friday, 31 December 2021
While there is still a bit of model variance the broad scale pattern is clear enough to make a high confidence call on Mon seeing a significant pulse of E/NE groundswell across the region.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/29/new-year-brings-strong-swell-tropical
freeride76
Wednesday, 29 December 2021
Surf prospects from this low are now upgraded to excellent with major weather models expecting the system to track parallel to the East Coast on a Southerly path, possibly reforming as a significant extra-tropical storm in the lower Tasman Sea next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/27/period-small-surf-ahead-nly-winds-while
freeride76
Monday, 27 December 2021
A strong 1033hPa high is located well to the south of the Bight, with a ridge now surging up the East Coast. In the tropics the Monsoon trough is now active, with good odds of cylogenesis before the New Year
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/24/few-small-fun-options-xmas-day-windy
freeride76
Friday, 24 December 2021
As discussed on Wed, we see a major pattern change next week after the troughy, doldrums pattern this week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/22/flukey-sources-continue-over-xmas-action
freeride76
Wednesday, 22 December 2021
Very weak pressure gradients everywhere as we continue to meander through this troughy, doldrums pattern with small, weak surf. Lots of action ahead next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/20/small-flukey-swells-ahead-week-and-xmas
freeride76
Monday, 20 December 2021
Lots of wind changes and small, flukey swells ahead this week as a Spring looking pattern unfolds in the week leading up to Xmas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/17/average-period-surf-therell-be-waves
thermalben
Friday, 17 December 2021
Freshening N/NE winds will deteriorate surface conditions through Saturday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2021/12/15/small-spell-waves-ahead
thermalben
Wednesday, 15 December 2021
So, the weekend’s Tasman Low event - responsible for the last six days of swell - has become absorbed into a broad trough occupying the eastern half of the Tasman Sea.
