TC Fili is still active within our swell window, and will probably only transit into the New Zealand swell shadow tomorrow, which means some form of east swell all week.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/11/another-period-stacked-swell-the-east
thermalben
Monday, 11 April 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/08/onshore-winds-easing-over-the-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 8 April 2022
A large 1031 hPa high straddling Tasmania ( no longer a peanut high) is extending a deep E’ly flow along the f/cast region. TC Fili has weakened and is drifting southwards to the SE now of New Caledonia, anchored by a long fetch of E’ly winds from the cradling high. That equals lots of East swell through the coming days, but we’ve still got some onshore winds to slog through.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/06/few-mucky-days-onshore-wind-ahead
freeride76
Wednesday, 6 April 2022
TC Fili is expected to track into the slot and stall- roughly equidistant between New Caledonia, the North Island and the East Coast of Australia. At some stage it will lose intensity and become extra-tropical but even as an ex TC the overall cradling fetch of E’ly winds is going to supply days of E’ly swell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/04/lots-swell-ahead-few-days-onshore-wind
freeride76
Monday, 4 April 2022
It's a classic "Summer" looking synoptic pattern and indicative of the La Nina pattern hanging on.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/04/01/large-s-swell-settles-down-quickly
freeride76
Friday, 1 April 2022
That will offer a window of improving conditions at Big Wave Spots, albeit under strong offshore conditions, which will make any offshore bombies hard to ride.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/30/big-and-windy-waves-ahead-options-big
freeride76
Wednesday, 30 March 2022
A trough of low pressure associated with the current sub-tropical low deepens rapidly through tomorrow in response to the influx of cold air, forming a storm force low pressure system off the NSW Central Coast overnight Thursday into Friday.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/28/couple-smaller-days-ahead-storm-force
freeride76
Monday, 28 March 2022
OK, it’s going to be a wild week so lets look at the moving parts and sketch out the order of events, whilst acknowledging that it will be a highly dynamic outlook requiring fine tuning as the troughs, front, upper trough and expected eventual storm force surface low all interact.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/25/tricky-troughy-outlook-the-weekend-major
freeride76
Friday, 25 March 2022
This is then augmented by a major front pushing into the Tasman, merging with the surface low to create a large area of low pressure in the Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/23/onshore-winds-setting-in-few-small
freeride76
Wednesday, 23 March 2022
The trough is connected to a parent low pushing through the lower Tasman, but the combination of short period SE and longer period S swells will be marred by an onshore flow for most of this week and the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2022/03/21/lots-funky-wind-changes-week-small-surf
freeride76
Monday, 21 March 2022
In the short run and an elongated “bubble” high sits along the NSW coast through tomorrow, bringing a cracker of a day with light offshore breezes which will tend N/NE through the day.
