The current synoptic pattern is a low pressure system E of Tasmania directing a fetch of SSW to S strong winds to low end gales adjacent to the NSW South Coast and extending south-east of Tasmania. This low then eases as it moves out into the Tasman sea later today.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/25/large-s-swell-now-easing-winds-abating-another
freeride76
Monday, 25 October 2021
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/22/unruly-mix-swells-robust-tasman-low-forms-east
freeride76
Friday, 22 October 2021
A dynamic weekend is ahead as a robust Tasman low forms near the Island overnight Sat.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/20/steady-drumbeat-e-swell-week-overlapped-large-s
freeride76
Wednesday, 20 October 2021
Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a broad fetch of E to ESE’ly winds feeding into the small low east of Tasmania, with another weak low centre off the NSW Mid North Coast also providing a weak E’ly fetch.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/18/lots-surf-the-east-week-onshore-winds-abating
freeride76
Monday, 18 October 2021
A trough in the Tasman off the NSW coast deepens into a small, surface low through Tuesday. Compared to model runs on Friday, this slow moving low is now positioned further south, in a more favourable position for swell generation for the East Coast of Tas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/15/fading-ne-windswell-replaced-strong-s-swell
freeride76
Friday, 15 October 2021
NE windswell is on the way out through tomorrow as the fetch gets shunted eastwards and away from the swell window but a complex cut-off low quickly replaces that swell with chunky short range S swell as it tracks just to the East of Tasmania and brings strong to gale force SSW to S winds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/13/chunky-ne-windswell-ahead-onshore-winds-problem
freeride76
Wednesday, 13 October 2021
Intensifying pressure gradients between a 1025 hPa high East of Tasmania and an approaching complex mid-latitude cut-off low is seeing N to NE winds begin to freshen across Bass Strait tonight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/11/large-ne-swell-later-week-followed-large-s
freeride76
Monday, 11 October 2021
High pressure drifts across the Tasman from a position in Tasmanian latitudes this week. An approaching mid-latitude low in the Bight tightens the the pressure gradient along the western flank of the high in the Tasman, with an increase in N to NE winds off NSW coast through Wed. It’s Thursday and Friday that really muscle up with gales aimed directly at NETas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/08/tiny-weekend-solid-surf-expected-mid-next-week
freeride76
Friday, 8 October 2021
A much more solid swell event then unfolds through the second half of next week , with a high pressure system drifting in the lower Tasman towards the South Island and a strong N’ly fetch developing off the back of the high, with pressure gradients being tightened by an approaching mid-latitude low in the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/06/quiet-period-ahead-more-surf-potential-next
freeride76
Wednesday, 6 October 2021
Things get more interesting next week, as instability in the Tasman sea leads to some surf potential for the East coast of Tas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2021/10/04/windy-week-ahead-couple-days-fun-surf-start
freeride76
Monday, 4 October 2021
The low near the South Island has had a fetch of ESE winds towards Tasmania, not ideally aligned but radial spread from the source fetch should see surf in the fun size range through Tuesday.
