The moist onshore flow from this set-up is flowing into a coastal trough and interior low bringing onshore winds and rain as well as developing E swell. We’ll eventually see the low and trough clear the coast bringing better winds Sun/Mon with some strong S swell on the menu for next week from Tasman Sea and deeper sources.

A complex inland trough low tied to tropical sources exits the coast as a strong high moves into the Bight. Following that a coastal trough in the Northern Tasman then deepens, likely into a surface low which may drift southwards bringing E swells to the entire region, possibly followed by a return S swell as the low gets captured by an approaching front.

The swell regime for the next few days throughout SE Qld will remain small out of the east with just enough size for small runners on the semi-exposed points.

Light winds continue into Mon and likely until Wed as the as the W-E progression of the next high cell (and subsequently fronts) slows and allows more intrusion of the S’ly fronts into the lower Tasman. S swells from frontal activity now look a notch more active next week, especially at S facing beaches in NENSW.