Model guidance has this Tasman Low remaining slow moving all week so we’re looking at a five-day run of surf size in the 4-6ft range across Northern NSW, from Monday onwards.
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Freshening S’ly tending S/SW winds are expected all weekend as a trough along the East Coast strengthens.
There’s no shortage of swell ahead.
The weekend’s broad outlook remains the same as discussed through the week, but wave heights have been downgraded a little.
We’ve had yet another major model swing in the last few days.
We've got a fairly standard winter frontal cycle coming up and the trend is for an extended period of southerly swell.
So, there’s one final pulse of south swell expected from this most recent Tasman Low, and it’ll deliver the biggest and strongest waves of the sequence.
I’m now a little less keen on Saturday’s surf prospects, than I was when I issued Monday’s notes.
Friday’s late kick in large S/SE swell will peak overnight before easing steadily through Saturday, which is currently the highlight of the forecast period.
There are no new swell sources in the water for the next few days, so we can expect a continuation of this extremely inconsistent but otherwise fun E’ly swell over the weekend, sourced from a distant, retreating fetch in the South Pacific south of Fiji earlier in the week.