Next week sees another weak high in the Tasman and weak winds in the Coral Sea. There may be just enough coverage to see some just rideable surf from Mon, but we are talking knee high at best.
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The result is a weak, troughy pattern in the Tasman and inland and weak winds in the Coral Sea- unstable but not very surfy. With nothing of any significance in the outlook we’ll see tiny/flat surf once this small signal fades away tomorrow.
There’s a very minor fetch Sun/Mon next week that may generate some just rideable surf on Sun/Mon but keep expectations low, it’ll be tiny and weak if it’s rideable, so bring a log.
A brief flush of E/SE winds in the Coral Sea Sun/Mon may supply some just rideable surf for CQ but expect marginal conditions.
Weak pressure gradients then occupy the Coral Sea through the mid week, offering up good conditions as a long range E swell makes landfall.
Through Mon we’ll see a slow building trend from the E/SE as swells fill in from a tropical depression drifting south from Fiji.
Our next swell comes as the fetch retreats eastwards and becomes intensified by a deepening trough of low pressure between Vanuatu and Fiji, which forms a broad surface which tracks southwards from later this week.
High pressure in the Tasman has maintained a better than expected tradeflow across the Coral Sea focussed SW of New Caledonia. That has seen fun waves across the weekend and we’ll see that surf pattern continue through to Wed at current levels.
We’ll see surf build on Mon as the next high pressure surge builds and extend into most of next week under SE-E winds.
There is some hope ahead as a new high moves into the Tasman Mon, and builds a ridge up the QLD coast. We should see surf build on Tues as SE winds increase, then maintain a fun sized surf as tradewinds develop through the Coral Sea.