Our next swell comes as the fetch retreats eastwards and becomes intensified by a deepening trough of low pressure between Vanuatu and Fiji, which forms a broad surface which tracks southwards from later this week.
Primary tabs
High pressure in the Tasman has maintained a better than expected tradeflow across the Coral Sea focussed SW of New Caledonia. That has seen fun waves across the weekend and we’ll see that surf pattern continue through to Wed at current levels.
We’ll see surf build on Mon as the next high pressure surge builds and extend into most of next week under SE-E winds.
There is some hope ahead as a new high moves into the Tasman Mon, and builds a ridge up the QLD coast. We should see surf build on Tues as SE winds increase, then maintain a fun sized surf as tradewinds develop through the Coral Sea.
A stronger high moves through the Bight over the weekend and looks to set-up a SE surge possibly as early as Mon. There is some model divergence leading to low confidence but all major models are suggesting SE winds building through the Coral Sea next week.
As a low sits off the SEQLD Coast over the weekend we’ll see a small signal of E/SE swell develop Sun at exposed spots north the Breaksea spit.
The strong high is the possible source of surf for CQ and at this stage we’ll see an increase in Coral Sea tradewinds through Tues/Wed, focussed in the Eastern area near New Caledonia. No great size is expected but we should see some tiny just rideable surf through Tues-Thurs on low tides.
Tradewinds are expected to develop in the Coral Sea through next week, leading to rideable surf from mid week.
The next high pressure ridge will build in on Tues next week and if current modelling holds we should see weak but persistent tradewinds develop in the Coral Sea mid next week with small but rideable surf developing Wed or Thurs.
The current SE surge from the high has produced more surfable conditions across CQ, which will ease into the middle of this week.