High pressure is moving into the Tasman, strengthening as it drifts towards New Zealand, where it is expected to become a dominant “flat topped” feature, reinforced by subsequent high pressure moving into the Tasman. We’ll see a long E’ly fetch develop through the South Pacific slot through the end of this week into the Coral Sea, enhanced by a trough of low pressure near New Caledonia which is attached to a still active monsoon trough.
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High pressure is moving into the Tasman tomorrow in the wake of a front with a weak tradewind fetch and SE surge developing.
Nothing of any interest this week with weak pressure gradients in the Coral Sea and tiny/flat surf.
Mon Update- no change to outlook, tiny/flat this week as Tasman low dominates the space.
We’ll see a couple of fun days of surf from the initial tradewind fetch feeding into the trough for CQ.
High pressure will be in the Tasman next week with ridge along the sub-tropics and a tradewind fetch enhanced by a long monsoon trough extending from the Indian Ocean across the north of the continent out to the South Pacific Island chains.
Weak high pressure is in the Tasman with a modest tradewind fetch in the Coral Sea with another weak high moving into the Tasman in it’s wake. Trades perk up today into tomorrow suggesting a small bump in size over the weekend into Mon before easing early next week.
We should see fun waves up to the weekend, easing into early next week before rebuilding on the back of a SE surge Wed next week.
High pressure drifts more NE into the Tasman with a weak trade flow sitting in the Central Coral Sea through the mid to end of this week.
Anywhere north of the cyclone, especially north of Fraser (K’gari) will see vastly reduced surf.