As expected a monster high (1035hPa) is currently drifting into the Tasman Sea, roughly equidistant between the South Coast and Tasmania. A very firm ridge is established from the Mid North Coast right up to tropical QLD, with weaker pressure gradients along the temperate NSW coast.
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The blocking trough pattern breaks down next week as a very strong high moves into the Tasman with a very firm ridge up along the sub-tropical QLD coast ( the so-called Quidge).
Small surf returns this week under a constant SE flow with a trough-block in the South Pacific.
Neither of these fetches are well aimed for CQ but small amounts of ESE swell should be in the water by Tues.
Next week is looking much more dynamic with possibilities for some quality E/SE swell on the radar for breaks with exposure through the Capricorn Channel.
A trough of low pressure off the Mid North Coast is located too far south and in the swell shadow of Fraser Island to generate any meaningful swell for the CQ region. As this system moves away we may see some tiny SE swells creep around the corner into the Capricorn channel but any size will be marginal at best.
Early next week, possibly Tues, we’ll see a stronger high in the Tasman with a broad SE surge pushing up the QLD Coast.
No great change to the f/cast. A trough over CQ and very weak ridge are not supplying sufficient wind energy to generate any rideable surf.
Lack of swell generating tradewinds in the Coral Sea sees tiny/flat surf extend through this weekend.
Tradewinds are now contracting Eastwards and the Coral Sea is going to quieten right down this week with only weak pressure gradients and light winds.