Let's cut to the chase for the bulk of this week: it looks very small, and very lacklustre for most coasts, and the northerly breeze will be up Tuesday and Wednesday too. There are some windows of opportunity though.
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The forecast charts don’t show much, but SE Qd will see a small increase in mid range E/NE swell over the coming days.
The dawn patrol may not be the best window of opportunity as it may not have properly cleaned up from lingering overnight cross-onshore winds. More in the Forecaster Notes.
It looks like we’re heading back to that previous synoptic pattern from a few weeks ago. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Based on model guidance, we’re yet to see the peak swell energy from TC Mona.
We have an increase in store out of the east courtesy of TC Mona, which has been lingering near Fiji all week. More in the forecaster Notes.
Feels like we’re about to see Groundhog Day for a little while longer yet, with this same pattern of easterly swells and light variable tending light to moderate onshore winds across SE Qld and Far Northern NSW.
TC Penny is not a direct swell producer for our region, but an indirect source of energy, albeit good quality and long-lived. Oh, and TC Mona out near Fiji looks like providing a large E'ly groundswell next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The main fetch around TC Penny will be aimed towards Central and Northern Qld coasts, but its slow moving nature and broad width should favour a good spread of energy southwards.
We're in the midst of a particularly active period, especially for those surfers north of the border.