While the south swell being generated is of no use to the CQ coast, the ridge that develops as the strong high moves into the Tasman brings increased SE winds along the CQ coast and extending out into the Coral Sea later this week.
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Meanwhile, out in the South Pacific a sub-tropical low is deepening well E of the North Island with a well aimed fetch expected to be aimed at the sub-tropics generating a long range E’ly groundswell for the weekend.
Low slipping through South Pacific sends good swells to exposed breaks this week, with small background surf before and after.
Unfortunately, the low now moves southwards, dragging the E’ly flow with it, out of the CQ swell window.
Trade flows and a deepening depression on Mon are likely to see surf pop back up again Tues into the 2ft range.
Trade flows across the South Coral and Northern Tasman Sea won’t be particularly strong this week but the broad scale coverage of winds and an uptick in wind strengths in more proximate areas of the fetch Tues/Wed will be enough to see a modest building trend into Wed and beyond.
Under the influence of the high pressure belt it’ll be a week of SE to E/SE’ly winds and a small blend of E’ly tradewind swell trains.
At 5am this morning TC Dovi was about 730 nautical miles E/NE of the Queensland border. Winds in the fetch are aimed away from the CQ coast, to targets further south, so the cyclone itself is not a swell source for the region.
Another strong high pressure ridge is preparing to build along the CQ coast Fri with (another!) tropical low drifting south from the South Pacific later this week and over the weekend down the Tasman Sea pipe.
A monster high moving through the Bight is strengthening with the pressure gradient tightened along the entire ridge line by a low pressure trough with embedded low systems in it.