Once the tradewind flow sets up early next week as the blocking high enters the Tasman we should start to see an increase in tradewind swell, likely by Tues at the latest.
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As the strong high moves E of Tasmania on Sun we'll see tradewinds start to build across the Coral Sea.
This swell energy isn’t well aimed for for CQ but the developing surface low is still strong enough to send swell north of Fraser Island.
The expected strong SE surge is captured by a trough and deepens into a surface low on Fri with small SE swell expected for the weekend in the 2ft range under fresh/strong S/SE winds.
Much better odds for surf as a strong SE surge builds up the coast Fri, with a broad SE fetch in the Coral Sea over next weekend and into early next week. That should see rideable surf develop Fri and hold in the fun-sized range into the weekend and potentially early week after.
Much better odds for surf as a strong SE surge builds up the coast Fri, with a broad SE fetch in the Coral Sea over next weekend and into early next week. That should see rideable surf develop Fri and hold in the fun-sized range into the weekend and potentially early week after.
The synoptic set-up looks quite unseasonal at the moment with a 1031 hPa high drifting over NSW and a 1007 hPa low slow moving in the Tasman west of the North Island. The SE surge from this high has generated some small, scrappy surf. Get in quickly for this swell, we’ll see some more small surf tomorrow then easing swells for Fri and back to flat for the weekend.
A strong front and embedded trough of low pressure are currently located just off the Gippsland Coast, expected to move NE into the Tasman and driving a strong/ near gale force S’ly flow up the NSW Coast today, reaching the QLD in the wee hours of Tuesday. We may see a small increase in SE swell as the S-SE surge reaches CQ coastline on later Tues. Nothing major, but we may see surf bump up a touch into the 1-1.5ft range Tues a’noon, holding at that size or 1-2ft Wed.
Weak winds in the Coral Sea and approaching fronts have shut down swell productions for CQ. As a result we're looking at tiny/flat surf over the weekend with onshore winds. This continues into early next week.
Mon should be the low point, possibly running into Tues before we see a modest rebuild in new E’ly tradewind swell as tradewinds reestablish across the South and Eastern Coral Seas.