Some decaying and fast moving frontal activity in the lower Tasman is currently scooting across that sea. Once the new high sets up shop in the Tasman we’ll see the N-NE flow which has been a constant for a month reset until another S’ly change arrives on the weekend. No major swells ahead as the pattern of weak, mobile high pressure continues but there’ll be some windows of opportunity with small NE windswell and minor flushes of S swell.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/12/04/nothing-major-we-should-see-rideable
freeride76
Wednesday, 4 December 2024
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/12/02/troughy-unstable-pattern-continues-small
freeride76
Monday, 2 December 2024
Stability and sunshine will be short-lived for temperate NSW, non-existent for the sub-tropics as another complex trough system moves towards the Eastern Seaboard. That will bring a shallow, troughy change mid-week before weak high pressure moves into the Tasman. No major swells this week, so we’ll be relying on a small trade-swell, which looks to ease off mid-week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/29/workable-swells-the-ne-ene-continue
freeride76
Friday, 29 November 2024
No change to the weekend f/cast. We’ll see the N-NE flow re-strengthen on Sat as a large high slips in under Tasmania and multiple troughs and a cut-off low forming over the interior tighten the pressure gradient along the coast.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/27/ne-windswells-continue-some-windows
freeride76
Wednesday, 27 November 2024
The N’ly flow gets briefly disrupted by the trough in temperate areas before resetting again for the weekend, generating more NE windswell.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/25/summery-week-end-spring
freeride76
Monday, 25 November 2024
As a result, we’re looking at small NE windswells for temperate NSW, with trade swells for the sub-tropics and a marginal amount of that swell filtering down to temperate regions.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/21/small-flukey-swells-dominant-ne-wind-and
freeride76
Friday, 22 November 2024
Slow moving high pressure is drifting in the Central Tasman with a classic summer wind signature of NE winds along temperate NSW, tending more SE-E in the sub-tropics.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/19/fun-blend-swells-expected-short-term
freeride76
Wednesday, 20 November 2024
There is quite a strong front tracking across the lower Tasman in advance of this high cell, along with a polar low, which will send some useful S swells our way before the high sets up a blocking pattern, which is expected to be reinforced by another large high next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/17/small-s-pulses-week-strongest-fri-summer
freeride76
Monday, 18 November 2024
A large high is approaching from well south of the Bight and expected to occupy the Tasman from Thurs, with a more summer style wind pattern of SE-E winds in the sub-tropics and NE winds in temperate NSW. Tradewinds will supply workable swells for the sub-tropics medium term with small pulses of S swell this week favouring NSW.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/15/increasing-ne-windswells-sun-s-pulses
freeride76
Friday, 15 November 2024
We’ll see that N-NE flow really ramp up on Sun as an approaching front and cut-off low really tightens the pressure gradient.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2024/11/12/troughy-pattern-throwing-some-dynamic
freeride76
Wednesday, 13 November 2024
Troughiness next week does offer potential for low pressure development in the Tasman but we’ve got high model variability so confidence is very low in the outcomes.
