Strong swell from the SE/ESE being generated by the SW flank of the low as it drifts towards the South Island should see plenty of surf in the 5ft range, holding into Sat before easing back.
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Friday looks a much better bet. With the low drifting SE towards New Zealand the south and south-west flank of the low aim a fetch of SE/ESE winds back at the North-east coastline of Tasmania.
The low drifts away towards New Zealand through Wed/Thurs with SE winds on the lower flank of the cut-off low sufficiently low in latitude to be in the Nor-east Tas swell window
Not much on the menu with small, weak swells from the north-east.
Todays passage of a polar low with a favourably angled SSW fetch now slingshotting into Tasmanian latitudes is generating a solid S swell building into this evening.
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Fri 13 August)
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Small S swell Sat as polar low passes under Tas Fri
- Slow moving low provides S swell pulse late Mon, peaking Tues, leftovers Wed
Recap
Small amounts of NE windswell in the 1-2ft range provided some just rideable surf Thursday. Swell from this source has eased back but with a few tiny waves available at NE facing beaches.
With severe gales extending from Tasmania down to 55S and a slightly more favourable SSW tilt in the winds which then push up adjacent to SE Tasmania during Tues..
As a cold front approaches Wed, NNW’ly winds freshen adjacent to the NSW coast and out into the Tasman sea. This is expected to generate a small 2ft NE windswell late Wed
Still on track for fun S’ly groundswell Saturday generated by an intense polar low with a mostly W’ly fetch and a better angled following front with a more favourable SW fetch
Still on track for fun S’ly groundswell Saturday generated by an intense polar low with a mostly W’ly fetch and a better angled following front with a more favourable SW fetch.