The weekend looks juicy. Whilst the Tasman low is not ideally aimed at Tasmania, E to SE winds feeding into the low are expected to generate a strong E’ly swell for the NE Coast.
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A much stronger cold front sweeps through Thurs, with size quickly ramping up from the S into the 3ft range.
The trough is connected to a parent low and cold fronts pushing through the lower Tasman, expected to generate some small pulses of long period S swell for NE Tas over the coming days.
E’ly winds on the southern flank of the low don’t look as impressive now as they did Friday but we’re still expecting to see a useful E’ly swell build later Tuesday.
The low does develop a useful fetch of E’ly winds on the southern flank and these are well aimed for NETas.
In addition a NE fetch is located off the NSW South Coast, generating E/NE to NE swell.
That SE fetch now dips away from Tas on Wed, with an E/NE fetch off the south side of the high aimed spat the East Coast.
Into the middle of next week and a robust fetch of E’ly winds extending out from Tasmania into the Tasman Sea, generated by the large high will maintain a solid level of E’ly swell.
The southern part of the fetch is well aimed for Tasmania’s Easy Coast, even though the strongest winds are to the north.
Another low forms in the trough line off the NSW Central Coast Tues, rapidly re-invigorating a robust S to S/SE fetch off the South to Central Coast before slowly drifting off to the SE later this week. This fetch is enhanced by a pressure gradient squeeze with another strong high currently moving East in the Bight.