The synoptic set-up looks quite unseasonal at the moment with a 1031 hPa high drifting over NSW and a 1007 hPa low slow moving in the Tasman west of the North Island. Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show broad fetch of mostly strong S-S/SE winds with some embedded low end gales reasonably well aimed for East coast swell production.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/18/plenty-fun-waves
freeride76
Wednesday, 18 October 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/16/plenty-s-se-swell
freeride76
Monday, 16 October 2023
A strong front and embedded trough of low pressure are currently located just off the Gippsland Coast, expected too move NE into the Tasman and driving a strong/ near gale force S’ly flow up the NSW Coast today, reaching the QLD in the wee hours of Tuesday. There’ll be an initial burst of S swell associated with the proximate fetch, with some better quality SE-E/SE swell from a secondary intensification of the low as it becomes slow moving near New Zealand.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/13/workable-s-swells
freeride76
Friday, 13 October 2023
We’ve got more clarity on the situation next week now as a lingering trough line from the NSW South Coast down to Gippsland is expected to deepen in response to a front and form a surface low in the Tasman Sea, likely later Mon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/11/october-nlies-the
freeride76
Wednesday, 11 October 2023
Moderate strength high pressure (1025 hPa) is drifting NE into the Tasman with a strong polar storm well SW of NZ exiting the swell window. That should see a settled short term before another complex trough and frontal system pushes north along the coast tomorrow with a stiff SW-S change. N'ly winds into the weekend under a very mobile, troughy pattern with some potential next week for a surface low to form in one of the trough lines.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/09/patchwork-quilt
thermalben
Monday, 9 October 2023
I’m not super confident on the weekend outlook.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/06/punchy-windy
thermalben
Friday, 6 October 2023
We've got more southerly swell on the way.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/04/solid-though
thermalben
Wednesday, 4 October 2023
We've had a slight tweak to the surf outlook for Thursday, mainly for SE Qld.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/10/02/punchy-and-windy
thermalben
Monday, 2 October 2023
It's one of the strongest N'ly local fetches we've seen in a while and will consequently deliver a punchy, sizeable NE windswell during the middle of the week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/09/29/plenty-nlies-some
freeride76
Friday, 29 September 2023
We’ve got a strong, expansive front passing through the Tasman at present will which supply some small pulses of S swell over the coming days. High pressure over NSW is moving NE into the Tasman, with a N’ly flow presently developing.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/09/27/few-small-options
freeride76
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
High cells are now tending to move NE as they enter the Tasman, bringing N’ly episodes which were rare through our triple La Niña but are becoming common as we enter El Niño proper. Small, combination swells and some light wind periods pad out the rest of the week with a more entrenched N’ly episode next week.
