/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/06/03/southerly-strength
thermalben
Monday, 3 June 2019

In 2015, Craig Brokensha penned an article When is an east coast low not an East Coast Low? Right now, we’ve got a classic, though rare example of the reverse.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/31/south-endurance-expedition
thermalben
Friday, 31 May 2019

The currently S’ly swell will reach a peak overnight, holding into Saturday morning before trending slowly downwards through Saturday and Sunday.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/29/southern-comfort
thermalben
Wednesday, 29 May 2019

There’s a lot of activity in our south swell window. And it’s all associated with an amplifying the Long Wave Trough that’s bringing about an impressive cold snap to the region.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/27/south-swells-ever-and-ever-amen
thermalben
Monday, 27 May 2019

The projected southerly swells for this week have been up and down like a yo-yo throughout the model runs over the last few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/24/end-small-settled-conditions-large-windy
thermalben
Friday, 24 May 2019

A very significant node of the Long Wave Trough is expected to amplify into the Bight early next week. Although the mature phase of this event will generally occur inside the Tasmanian swell shadow (relative to NSW’s swell window), we’ll see a powerful secondary phase push through the lower Tasman Sea mid-week, generating large southerly swells for us. More in the Forecaster Notes. 

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/22/tiny-spell-ahead-though-plenty-charts
thermalben
Wednesday, 22 May 2019

The Southern Ocean storm track is aimed well and truly away from our swell window, so we’re not expecting much, if any new energy for the rest of the week. Next week is very dynamic though. More in the Forecaster Notes.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/20/keep-watch-flukey-long-period-south
thermalben
Monday, 20 May 2019

A dominant ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea will maintain mainly light variable winds all week. As for surf, the swell charts look devoid of activity but that belies what’s been happening in our acute south swell window over the last few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/17/doldrums-small-southerly-swell-regime
thermalben
Friday, 17 May 2019

The wind outlook for the next fourteen days says it all: light and variable. All the result of a blocking high in the Tasman Sea.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/15/southerly-regularity
thermalben
Wednesday, 15 May 2019

The rest of the week will continue to see favourably light winds and weak sea breezes under a weak synoptic pattern. As for surf, the current southerly regime will persist for some time. More in the Forecaster Notes.

/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2019/05/13/plenty-south-swell-way-good-winds-boot
thermalben
Monday, 13 May 2019

First glance of the swell graphs suggests tiny surf and light winds all week. However, we’ve got some really nice waves on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.