There’s been a slight improvement to the weekend outlook, but only just. The west-east movement of weather patterns across our region seems to have slowed slightly in the last few model runs, which will benefit us in a couple of ways.
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The surf outlook for the rest of the week is fairly simple - from Tuesday onwards wave heights will trend downwards, and conditions will generally deteriorate as the northerly regime redevelops across the coast.
Local winds will heavily dictate the weekend’s surfability.
A strong, long period southerly groundswell is moving across the southern NSW coast at the moment, of which the leading edge should be pushing into the lower Mid North Coast at the moment.
The Gold Coast and Far Northern NSW should actually be fun on Tuesday as conditions should rapidly improve behind the change.
So although Saturday morning may be wind affected early on, conditions should improve across the Mid North Coast from about lunchtime (especially in the far southern region) with the afternoon producing fun waves.
A brisk northerly regime will dominate the NSW coast for the next three or four days.
We’ve got a pretty ordinary week of waves on the cards.
Of more interest to us is a small E'ly swell expected to arrive later Monday, ahead of a peak through Tuesday before easing Wednesday.
It's quite possible that the new energy is simply lagging a few hours behind model predictions, so I'm not going to write off Thursday's surf potential across the region at all.