No great change to the weekend f/cast. S swells will be the dominant force in the water through tomorrow, mostly mid period stuff whipped up by a proximate fetch of S-SSW winds generated by a front and trough of low pressure forming in the Tasman.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/09/01/few-small-options
freeride76
Friday, 1 September 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/30/minor-downgrade
freeride76
Wednesday, 30 August 2023
This trough then absorbs another trough of low pressure moving south from the South Pacific islands to form a large area of low pressure near New Zealand. Compared to Mondays notes the components of this complex pattern all look a little weaker and more mobile with reduced swell generating potential, but we will still see some useful pulses from the various incarnations of the broad pattern.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/28/surf-the-e-ands-s
freeride76
Monday, 28 August 2023
The trough is expected to move offshore and merge with a more tropical derived depression to form a large trough of low pressure in the Tasman over the weekend. This has been a feature of synoptic prognostic charts for a few weeks now, with forecasts generally tending to weaken and fall apart as the event unfolds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/25/small-swells-and
freeride76
Friday, 25 August 2023
We’ve still got the basic building blocks in place that we mentioned on Wed with the proviso that everything looks a little weaker and disjointed. High pressure moves NE of Tasmania and the troughs remain inland, although we may see a weaker trough area move off the North Coast of NSW early in the week. SE-E/SE tradewinds are established in the Central Coral Sea and will supply small tradewind swell for the first half of the week at least.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/23/remaining-small
freeride76
Wednesday, 23 August 2023
A cold front and long trough are bringing a S’ly change to the NSW coast, extending into the sub-tropics later today and overnight. There’s not a great deal of useful swell generating winds associated with the change so only modest short range S swells are expected to accompany it. The lingering troughy pattern gets much more dynamic over the weekend (and next week) as a powerful high approaches from the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/21/small-surf-week
freeride76
Monday, 21 August 2023
The remnants of the weekends frontal systems have set up a fading off axis fetch near New Zealand with the current run of small S swells also on the way out. A weak mid week front will bring a wind change and a small flush of S swell but next week looks a bit more robust although with plenty of wind.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/18/stiff-august
freeride76
Friday, 18 August 2023
Sunday looks better, for size at least. The head of the fetch reaches almost to New Caledonia and this typically aids S swell penetration into SEQLD.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/16/brief-tricky
thermalben
Wednesday, 16 August 2023
Easing swells are expected for the rest of the week, and northerlies will give it a kick in the pants on Thursday afternoon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/14/flukey-winds
freeride76
Monday, 14 August 2023
We’ve got a weak, troughy pattern unfolding now adjacent to the NSW Coast in the near Tasman Sea that will provide plenty of wind changes this week. A low pressure system near the South Island reached maximum strength last night and is now slowly easing, but still looking good on ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes with S’ly strong winds to gales aimed up the Tasman pipe. That will be our main source of swell this week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/08/11/small-wave
freeride76
Friday, 11 August 2023
As mentioned on Wed the weekend’s front forms a low which looks to stall in the central/eastern Tasman Sun/Mon, and possibly linger near the South Island after that. The fetch now, isn’t quite so well aimed back at the East Coast but we’re still on track for a nice pulse of S-S/SE swell.
