Compared to Fridays notes the front/low in the Southern Tasman is a stronger system while the tradewind pattern is weaker and more disjointed. That will see S quadrant swells dominate through most of the week through temperate-sub-tropical NSW, with a smaller tradewind swell signal north of the border being the dominant swell train.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/20/tradewind-swell
freeride76
Monday, 20 March 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/17/lots-fun
freeride76
Friday, 17 March 2023
All eyes out to the Pacific swell window this week with a typical late Summer/early Autumn pattern setting up. Low pressure centres well to the East of Fiji (near American Samoa), west of Fiji and NW of New Caledonia will all chug away on a long tradewind belt setting up presently and enhanced by a dominant high pressure cell moving SE of Tasmania early next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/15/easterly-long
thermalben
Wednesday, 15 March 2023
Our eastern swell window remains the focus for the coming week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/13/average-waves
thermalben
Monday, 13 March 2023
Sunday has some promise for an easterly swell to fill in, sourced from two regions.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/10/some-favourable
freeride76
Friday, 10 March 2023
A broad area of low pressure drifts NE to be close to Lord Howe Island on Mon, with ESE-E winds on the southern flank of the low pressure area. That system does look to persist in the Tasman at least until the middle of next week, generating fun sized SE-E swells. It's not a tremendously tight squeeze between the low and a high drifting E of Tasmania but it will be persistent enough to generate fun surf.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/08/troughy-wind
freeride76
Wednesday, 8 March 2023
The complex low pressure gyre is slowly moving under Tasmania with the majority of any swell generating winds in the swell shadow of Tasmania. Hot air being dragged down from tropical Australia is now slowly being displaced by the cooler air from the Southern Ocean and driving a synoptic W’ly flow across temperate NSW with the sub-tropics still subject to hot, Spring-like N’lies.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/06/spring-winds-most
freeride76
Monday, 6 March 2023
Unfortunately this strong cold outbreak now looks to stall just too far West (behind the swell shadow of Tasmania) to really deliver any strong S swell to the East Coast, before weakening as it moves into the Tasman Sea swell window proper.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/03/dual-tcs-racing
freeride76
Friday, 3 March 2023
We may see a small amount of longer period E’ly energy as TC Judy briefly slows in the swell window. Nothing major, just a few 3ft sets. TC Kevin is now following the same path as TC Judy with just traces of E/NE-E energy added into the mix Sun/Mon.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/03/01/autumn-ordinary
freeride76
Wednesday, 1 March 2023
Lots of action on the charts but not much of it will translate to meaningful surf for the Eastern Seaboard. The tropics remains active with a monsoon trough and convective activity strewn across the Top End, while the edge of the trough in the South Pacific has spawned TC Judy, with another system behind it. Both of those systems are now modelled to track quickly SE through the swell window with no major swells generated.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2023/02/27/tease-the-tropics
freeride76
Monday, 27 February 2023
The troughy pattern will see rapid fire wind changes across temperate NSW this week and while all eyes are on the tropics it’s looking like a continuing tease with an expected tropical depression or TC moving quite quickly SE through the swell window with limited surf potential.
