We’ve got some fun swell inbound for the Xmas period, though freshening NE winds will create bumpy conditions at times.
Primary tabs
A trough is expected to strengthen in the north-eastern Tasman Sea on Sunday (in the wake of Saturday’s S’ly change) and this is expected to remain slow moving for a few days.
Of more interest are two long range swells that will provide more size and strength to the surf zone. They are both starting to show across the coast and should appear more prominently across the region ahead of peak in size on Friday. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The weekend’s deep inland trough responsible for the persistent northerly flow has now pushed into the southern Tasman Sea, formed into a closed low, and is developing a reasonable southerly fetch about its western flank.
There won’t be any shortage of NE swell this weekend, but the accompanying winds will generally be fresh and gusty from the same direction, so quality will be somewhat limited for the most part.
So, the weekend’s forecast has been scaled up a little since Monday's notes were issued. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A stationary synoptic pattern across the the Tasman Sea will deliver mixed results in the surf department over the coming days.
We’ve got a classic summer pattern ahead for the weekend, with a stationary high in the Tasman Sea and a mix of swells from the E/NE and NE.
Next week still looks rather benign in the surf department but we have a couple of areas to keep a watch on. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A strong front pushing across the Tasmanian region today will generate a couple of south swells for the next few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.