From here on it looks like we’ve got a blocking synoptic pattern setting up in our eastern swell window, comprising a coastal trough in NSW and a high pressure system in the south-eastern Tasman Sea. And as a result we've got some really good surf on the way.
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Friday has some interesting model output, which is making it bloody hard to reconcile the likely surf outcome at my end.
The weekend’s coastal trough is consolidating into a broad low S/SE of Tasmania at the moment.
The current NE flow off the coast will continue to generate NE swell into Saturday.
Aim for Saturday as it’ll offer the pick of the weekend’s waves.
There’s a couple of sneaky swells on target for the weekend.
I’ve been keeping a watch on the trade swell across Northern NSW and it seems to be still reaching a peak this afternoon. Whilst this is inline with expectations, it’s therefore worth increasing the projected heights for Southern NSW on Saturday.
The current short range E'ly swell episode is peaking across the coast and will begin a downwards trend through Thursday.
Thursday morning is probably a better choice if you're planning which day to surf this week.
The models are suggesting an unusually thin, elongated fetch thanks to a broad supporting ridge to the south, and the slow northward track of this system is somewhat interesting as the fetch will hang in the swell window a little longer than usual, which should boost size prospects.