COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster
mikehunt207 wrote:Blowin wrote:So you’re a 25 year old hospitality employee and someone was at the same Chrissy party as yourself and is covid positive, so you’ve got to isolate for a week despite being completely fine. You do your week, lose your income then re-enter the world. A day into your freedom you visit a mate who then tests positive. You are forced to isolate for a week despite being totally fine. You lose another week’s income and your savings are gone.
Then your missus comes home and tells you that she caught covid off someone at work and that she has to isolate for a week and so do you although you never catch it and are totally fine.
You’re now living on debt you can’t afford, you’ve lost your casual job cause you haven’t turned up for three weeks and your boss went bust anyway.
Then you are forced into isolation after another contact. You still don’t have covid and you e never had covid. Everyone you know who had covid got a slight headache of any symptoms at all.
You could be isolated every week for the rest of your life without ever catching the Sydney Sniffle.
What a fuvking joke. A sick, sad , fucked up , society destroying joke.
Fuck Blowin, we get how badass you are mate , getting into other people faces cause they are doing the right thing for themselves and their situation ...
Kind of sounding like that lady on the plane.
No mate. I’m just relaying stories of people I know and then posing the question of how this is meant to continue in the same manner. This is actually happening to people. People who are not ill are still being locked in their homes….lots and lots of people. It’s a pseudo lockdown so they can still pump in the immigrants whilst pandering to the chickenshit softcocks who demand our craven political class do something about a flu.
I’ve never gotten into anyone’s face. My point is that people should be free to make their own decisions, not be coerced by those seeking profit and power or those who want to impose their petty tyranny on others like old mate Roadkill. What a fucking disgrace that clown is….driving his potentially infected son around the joint after months of declaring that those who didn’t take his jab should be ostracised from society because he was afraid they might spread the virus he’s now been taught to accept. He was taught to treat it like lava for two years and then in a week he’s been re-educated into “ just a flu,bro”.
It makes me gasp at the stupidity of it all but at least he’s finally pulled his head out of his arse.
Roadkill September 2021 : “ The unvaccinated will kill us all even though we are totally safe and vaccinated from the worst virus in history!!!!!! The unvaccinated might spread it to vulnerable people and we should exclude them from society cause they’re evil mud bloods . I hope they die from covid! “
Roadkill December 2021 : “ Yeah, my son is in the car beside me and he might be infected but it’s just a flu and we are all going to get it anyway. It’s no big deal.”
Same bloke , same virus.
Nah sorry, it’s not acceptable to make people homeless to slow the spread
Not now, not with omicron and a fully vaxxed population
Blowin wrote:mikehunt207 wrote:Blowin wrote:So you’re a 25 year old hospitality employee and someone was at the same Chrissy party as yourself and is covid positive, so you’ve got to isolate for a week despite being completely fine. You do your week, lose your income then re-enter the world. A day into your freedom you visit a mate who then tests positive. You are forced to isolate for a week despite being totally fine. You lose another week’s income and your savings are gone.
Then your missus comes home and tells you that she caught covid off someone at work and that she has to isolate for a week and so do you although you never catch it and are totally fine.
You’re now living on debt you can’t afford, you’ve lost your casual job cause you haven’t turned up for three weeks and your boss went bust anyway.
Then you are forced into isolation after another contact. You still don’t have covid and you e never had covid. Everyone you know who had covid got a slight headache of any symptoms at all.
You could be isolated every week for the rest of your life without ever catching the Sydney Sniffle.
What a fuvking joke. A sick, sad , fucked up , society destroying joke.
Fuck Blowin, we get how badass you are mate , getting into other people faces cause they are doing the right thing for themselves and their situation ...
Kind of sounding like that lady on the plane.No mate. I’m just relaying stories of people I know and then posing the question of how this is meant to continue in the same manner. This is actually happening to people. People who are not ill are still being locked in their homes….lots and lots of people. It’s a pseudo lockdown so they can still pump in the immigrants whilst pandering to the chickenshit softcocks who demand our craven political class do something about a flu.
I’ve never gotten into anyone’s face. My point is that people should be free to make their own decisions, not be coerced by those seeking profit and power or those who want to impose their petty tyranny on others like old mate Roadkill. What a fucking disgrace that clown is….driving his potentially infected son around the joint after months of declaring that those who didn’t take his jab should be ostracised from society because he was afraid they might spread the virus he’s now been taught to accept. He was taught to treat it like lava for two years and then in a week he’s been re-educated into “ just a flu,bro”.
It makes me gasp at the stupidity of it all but at least he’s finally pulled his head out of his arse.
Roadkill September 2021 : “ The unvaccinated will kill us all even though we are totally safe and vaccinated from the worst virus in history!!!!!! The unvaccinated might spread it to vulnerable people and we should exclude them from society cause they’re evil mud bloods . I hope they die from covid! “
Roadkill December 2021 : “ Yeah, my son is in the car beside me and he might be infected but it’s just a flu and we are all going to get it anyway. It’s no big deal.”
Same bloke , same virus.
Please don’t attribute quotes to me that I never said. You already have zero credibility.
"Please don’t attribute quotes to me that I never said. You already have zero credibility."
what makes you so special Roadkill?. blowin's verballed everyone else!!
You got off lightly Roadkil. blowin told everyone I defended pedophiles.
Vic Local wrote:"Please don’t attribute quotes to me that I never said. You already have zero credibility."
what makes you so special Roadkill?. blowin's verballed everyone else!!
You got off lightly Roadkil. blowin told everyone I defended pedophiles.
Amazing the pos is allowed to remain on here. I struggle to understand why?
So, my son is now at 4 hrs and 40 mins in a line and waiting.
It must be exciting not knowing how you’ll think tomorrow until the morning edition newspaper tells you your opinions for the day hey Roadkill.
PANIC! DONT PANIC! AWAIT FURTHER ORDERS !
Funny you claim I’ve got no credibility after you just completely flip flopped on the topic you’ve been going full retard about for a year.
We arrived at 8am for a 9am opening, there were about 100 people in front of him at that time. There is a huge line behind him…most of these people will wait all day and get no test…it is simply not fast enough.
Three “covid “ deaths today. Two people in their 80s and one person in their 90s.
All double vaccinated.
So it’s the exact same crew dying after the “ vaccinate to freedom “ push as before it. And no one is free after being vaccinated. If the government rings you and says stay in your home till we let you out, you stay in your home till they let you out.
Even if you are not sick.
Even if you test negative.
Even though the virus is a headache unless you’re 89 years old and are already dying of dementia.
get a life you complete moron
Cheers for the advice bloke.
I’m pretty damn happy though.
@blowin wrote "Either way she needs a boot in the gusset for good measure. Her narc instinct would just surface somewhere else in some one else’s face."
Probably no need for that Blowie. I found it kinda confronting to hear him yelling at her and calling her bitch regardless of her whining and getting in his grill. When did it become ok to talk to women like this?
Two wrongs don't make a right. Being a man requires just that. Being a man..a gentleman. He could have just as easily de escalated that.
I know you're probably just joking which is sweet, but i reckon it's important to distinguish that there's no time or place for talking to women like that. Not ever. Not the way i was brought up anyway.
Done. 5hrs 40 mins. They came and put a sign up down the line. So, a lot of people left after 5 hrs waiting.
Blowin wrote:It must be exciting not knowing how you’ll think tomorrow until the morning edition newspaper tells you your opinions for the day hey Roadkill.
PANIC! DONT PANIC! AWAIT FURTHER ORDERS !
Funny you claim I’ve got no credibility after you just completely flip flopped on the topic you’ve been going full retard about for a year.
OK, Karen.
bluediamond wrote:@blowin wrote "Either way she needs a boot in the gusset for good measure. Her narc instinct would just surface somewhere else in some one else’s face."
Probably no need for that Blowie. I found it kinda confronting to hear him yelling at her and calling her bitch regardless of her whining and getting in his grill. When did it become ok to talk to women like this?
Two wrongs don't make a right. Being a man requires just that. Being a man..a gentleman. He could have just as easily de escalated that.
I know you're probably just joking which is sweet, but i reckon it's important to distinguish that there's no time or place for talking to women like that. Not ever. Not the way i was brought up anyway.
Being a man…don’t talk to woman like that..wake the fuck up.
That dirty pig of an excuse for a woman got what she deserves.
The values you talk about are long gone…gender does not get anyone a special pass in how they are spoken to. Everyone should get back what they give.
Hey blowin, can you let us know whether or not you were the maskless muppet who was screaming at the Mitre 10 staff. You know the one who filmed himself banging on about his human rights being denied because the staff told him to fuck off and don't come back for 2 years.
Nobody would be shocked if you were THAT clown.
Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
@roadkill wrote "That dirty pig of an excuse for a woman got what she deserves."
And therein lies the problem with big men like yourself Roadkill.
What a man you must be.
When i was a teenager i talked pretty shit to women because of my influences at the time. But i did eventually grow up and learn to curb my language and to be a gentleman or at least keep calm.
Might be something in that for you too, i'm guessing you're pretty old though so maybe too late.
Supafreak wrote:Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
that made for very sobering reading. the whole health system, that was underrecourced and understaffed before covid, is now about to collapse for everyone who requires medical help.
bluediamond wrote:@roadkill wrote "That dirty pig of an excuse for a woman got what she deserves."
And therein lies the problem with big men like yourself Roadkill.
What a man you must be.
When i was a teenager i talked pretty shit to women because of my influences at the time. But i did eventually grow up and learn to curb my language and to be a gentleman or at least keep calm.
Might be something in that for you too, i'm guessing you're pretty old though so maybe too late.
A woman screaming into a man’s face, then spits in a man’s face, during a pandemic, with a virus that is passed on through bodily fluids..and you say…the guy should act like a gentleman and refrain from retaliating?
That skag, gets no pass, just because of gender.
When I was a teenager…I never talked shit to women or men..so I guess my influences were better than yours. (Using your standards of upbringing). I don’t speak shit to people now…as I carried my up bringing with me, I do now give respect and return respect if warranted. Do unto others and all.
Im confused by your messaging there Roady.
@roadkill said "I never talked shit to women or men..so I guess my influences were better than yours."
@roadkill said "That dirty pig of an excuse for a woman got what she deserves."
So it's ok if you're screaming on a public internet forum...but you....in real life are a better person than that? That's how i'm reading it.
Sounds like you've devolved Roady. Sorry to say.
Supafreak wrote:Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
And QLD had 400,000 come for the holidays. The shit show will only get worse. And Perrottet fucked up and said lets open everything, drop masks, go shop.
bluediamond wrote:@roadkill said "I never talked shit to women or men..so I guess my influences were better than yours."
@roadkill said "That dirty pig of an excuse for a woman got what she deserves."
So it's ok if you're screaming on a public internet forum...but you....in real life
are a better person than that? That's how i'm reading it.
Sounds like you've devolved Roady. Sorry to say.
I give the respect I receive…in here is no different.
bluediamond wrote:@blowin wrote "Either way she needs a boot in the gusset for good measure. Her narc instinct would just surface somewhere else in some one else’s face."
Probably no need for that Blowie. I found it kinda confronting to hear him yelling at her and calling her bitch regardless of her whining and getting in his grill. When did it become ok to talk to women like this?
Two wrongs don't make a right. Being a man requires just that. Being a man..a gentleman. He could have just as easily de escalated that.
I know you're probably just joking which is sweet, but i reckon it's important to distinguish that there's no time or place for talking to women like that. Not ever. Not the way i was brought up anyway.
I couldn't disagree with this comment more. Way off the mark imo. This person physically assualts someone with fists and bodily fluids and verbally abuses him publically where she has zero right to do so. Yet here you are turning this in into some sort of gender crusade where this man is somehow in the wrong and should have shown more gentlemanly restraint. What planet do you live on? He showed serious amount of restraint as did his wife. He could have easily subdued her until cabin control finally figured out what to do. I reckon it's important to distinguish there is no time or place for physical behaviour that couple copped from that psychopath anywhere. Let's not focus on words as this went well beyond "wining and getting in his grill" Bluediamond.
Tell me BD…if you went out and a female spat in your face. What would you do?
Agreed. Give it to get it. Just have a different take on this particular topic. Fair enough.
Roadkill wrote:Tell me BD…if you went out and a female spat in your face. What would you do?
haha. That's a loaded question Roady!!
I've had that happen before. I've had jealous ex's pour beers over my head, slapped me, all the above. Each and everytime i've laughed. I think once i asked the girl that slapped me if she'd marry me! With a smile on my face of course. No need to impose yourself as a big man over a woman. What does that achieve. Just laugh it off and it de escalates quickly....plus they feel pretty silly. It's not rocket science mate.
Craig wrote:Glad we sorted that one out :)
almost!
Supafreak wrote:Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
That explains a lot. Probably also explains the extra 1000 positive cases incorrectly reported today. Would be a very stressful job to be in at the moment.
Whether we like it or not the “Let it Rip” strategy has arrived. Testing requirements will need to be reduced and target more critical situations. January is going to be wild.
Craig wrote:chook wrote:Supafreak wrote:Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
that made for very sobering reading. the whole health system, that was underrecourced and understaffed before covid, is now about to collapse for everyone who requires medical help.
Agree, very sobering.
Frustrating not sobering
Remove the non priority testing for travellers and close contacts
When the wave comes, I take a deep breath and dive. I don’t try to stop the wave
or
All possible hands on deck are required
You will not stop this wave
Talking NSW numbers here. At the current rate of 6000 cases, the wave will last 1000 days. Things are falling apart already. If the numbers go up the system fails harder.
If you are well enough to work, then you should. It’s the only way
Roadkill wrote:Supafreak wrote:Insight into what’s happening inside pathologies and hospital https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusDownunder/comments/rp192n/insight_in... This is worth reading as are the comments section from other medical staff .
And QLD had 400,000 come for the holidays. The shit show will only get worse. And Perrottet fucked up and said lets open everything, drop masks, go shop.
I wouldn’t say 400,000 have come for holidays , 400,000 passes have been issued , 8000 were returned queenslanders that were locked out , then you have border residents, then there’s relatives that haven’t seen family for up to 2 years, not all 400,000 are happy holiday makers . Plus truckies supplying queenslanders with goods .
bluediamond wrote:Agreed. Give it to get it. Just have a different take on this particular topic. Fair enough.
No mate….you called me out as being some kind of poorly brought up individual…with a really poor standard of living and respect I give to people is substandard…all because I said some pig of a woman should get zero respect or free pass just because she is a female…and I was not a real man or a gentleman for saying that. You moralised whilst sitting on your ass that you would never talk to a female the way the guy who was spat on would. You reduced the guy who received a face full of phlegm as not a man.
When asked what you would do if a female spat in your face? You started walking it back.
Does that sum it up BD?
You're not a well human Roadkill. I hope you don't have kids.
Craig wrote:Yep they'll need to make adjustments to who gets tested and prioritise it for sure.
They may have to rethink on the thousands off medical staff layed off because they weren’t vaccinated even though they worked before a vaccine was available. Doesn’t make sense to me when anyone vaccinated or not can spread it if positive.
bluediamond wrote:You're not a well human Roadkill. I hope you don't have kids.
About as weak as an ass covering reply can be. Obfuscation…often used when lacking any real reply.
Supafreak wrote:Craig wrote:Yep they'll need to make adjustments to who gets tested and prioritise it for sure.
They may have to rethink on the thousands off medical staff layed off because they weren’t vaccinated even though they worked before a vaccine was available. Doesn’t make sense to me when anyone vaccinated or not can spread it if positive.
With Omicron, this could well be a possibility. (Bringing unvaxed medical staff back).
bluediamond wrote:Roadkill wrote:Tell me BD…if you went out and a female spat in your face. What would you do?
haha. That's a loaded question Roady!!
I've had that happen before. I've had jealous ex's pour beers over my head, slapped me, all the above. Each and everytime i've laughed. I think once i asked the girl that slapped me if she'd marry me! With a smile on my face of course. No need to impose yourself as a big man over a woman. What does that achieve. Just laugh it off and it de escalates quickly....plus they feel pretty silly. It's not rocket science mate.
Ex-girlfriends or people that you should know aren't carrying any communicable diseases doesn't really cut the mustard as a comparison in this situation either BD. Who knows what this women has? Spitting on someone is unversially reviled, even moreso if its a complete stranger. No offence man but I think you admitting having had ex-girlfriends slap you and poor beer all over your face reveals a little bit more about your relationships than any else on here who agrees this woman was well off the mark and not the victim.
Roadkill wrote:bluediamond wrote:You're not a well human Roadkill. I hope you don't have kids.
About as weak as an ass covering reply can be. Obfuscation…often used when lacking any real reply.
I can't think of any of my mates that would do anything other than laugh at a chick spitting in their face. It is kinda funny. Respect women Roadkill. No excuses ever to talk down to a woman in a threatening manner or to threaten violence. Your arguments are as weak as you always sound.
Domestic violence is born in places like this if left unchecked.
bluediamond wrote:Roadkill wrote:bluediamond wrote:You're not a well human Roadkill. I hope you don't have kids.
About as weak as an ass covering reply can be. Obfuscation…often used when lacking any real reply.
I can't think of any of my mates that would do anything other than laugh at a chick spitting in their face. It is kinda funny. Respect women Roadkill. No excuses ever to talk down to a woman in a threatening manner or to threaten violence. Your arguments are as weak as you always sound.
Domestic violence is born in places like this if left unchecked.
You think it funny if a woman spits in a man’s face?
To receive a gobfull of spit from a woman gives a man no right to retaliate? And the man still has no right to talk down to the woman doing the face spitting? Geeze…
Roadkill wrote:Supafreak wrote:Craig wrote:Yep they'll need to make adjustments to who gets tested and prioritise it for sure.
They may have to rethink on the thousands off medical staff layed off because they weren’t vaccinated even though they worked before a vaccine was available. Doesn’t make sense to me when anyone vaccinated or not can spread it if positive.
With Omicron, this could well be a possibility. (Bringing unvaxed medical staff back).
Of course they should.
It was an outrageous and naive decision from the beginning
Roadkill wrote:bluediamond wrote:Roadkill wrote:bluediamond wrote:You're not a well human Roadkill. I hope you don't have kids.
About as weak as an ass covering reply can be. Obfuscation…often used when lacking any real reply.
I can't think of any of my mates that would do anything other than laugh at a chick spitting in their face. It is kinda funny. Respect women Roadkill. No excuses ever to talk down to a woman in a threatening manner or to threaten violence. Your arguments are as weak as you always sound.
Domestic violence is born in places like this if left unchecked.You think it funny if a woman spits in a man’s face?
To receive a gobfull of spit from a woman gives a man no right to retaliate? And the man still has no right to talk down to the woman doing the face spitting? Geeze…
I think we've both established our points of view.
Back to the covid thread.
https://amp.abc.net.au/article/100725954
Insanity. All of it
shoredump wrote:Talking NSW numbers here. At the current rate of 6000 cases, the wave will last 1000 days.
How did you come to that conclusion on numbers?
Your own thoughts or read it elsewhere?
My understanding is it's more likely to be a much much bigger wave than we have seen case wise in Australia, but will peak in only a few weeks before cases start falling.
South Africas Omicron wave hit late November and peaked about 16 December so roughly three weeks and most waves fall in a similar time frame or a little longer to time they take to peak.
Other waves in South Africa were longer, there is obviously other factors to take into things that might see our wave be a little different and longer even with less than half the population of South Africa, but you would expect to still see a fast hitting wave, a fast peak and possibly fairly fast decline.
The waves also don't seem to continue to burn through whole populations as you would expect but normally only affect a percentage of the population before peaking.
It can’t sustain like this .
Collapse by design ?
https://www.weforum.org/platforms/shaping-the-future-of-health-and-healt...
shoredump wrote:Roadkill wrote:Supafreak wrote:Craig wrote:Yep they'll need to make adjustments to who gets tested and prioritise it for sure.
They may have to rethink on the thousands off medical staff layed off because they weren’t vaccinated even though they worked before a vaccine was available. Doesn’t make sense to me when anyone vaccinated or not can spread it if positive.
With Omicron, this could well be a possibility. (Bringing unvaxed medical staff back).
Of course they should.
It was an outrageous and naive decision from the beginning
yep, all that moralising and high and mightying is looking pretty dumb now
in an emergency situation you require an emergency response...
too bad if you burn your emergency escape bridges in the safe season in a moment of complacency, hubris, self righteousnous, and total lack of forsight...
the stupidity of australia's corona response never ceases to amaze
2 years to plan, 2 years to consolidate an already flailing medical system, and 2 years to prep. a system and public....
and here we are... clearly at the 'putting out spotfires' level of management mastery....
australia... the lucky country....
so so lucky
kind of...
I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..
There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia