COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

Craig's picture
Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 7:44pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

overthefalls's picture
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overthefalls Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 9:43pm

This thread has become illustrative of Flaubert’s old maxim: “There is no truth. There is only perception.” Here on Swellnet, one might want to add this to the maxim: “Anyone with a different perception is an idiot, bullshitter and/or an arsehole.”

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I focus Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 9:48pm

I have a couple of mates both super fit surfers both have autoimmune diseases one has 12 months to go in treatment and recovery both been told if they get COVID no matter the variant they are gone.

Needless to say they are apprehensive re WA border opening on Feb 5.

God help those in the Easter States in the same boat there will be many.

And Merry Xmas everyone.

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overthefalls Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 10:03pm
I focus wrote:

I have a couple of mates both super fit surfers both have autoimmune diseases one has 12 months to go in treatment and recovery both been told if they get COVID no matter the variant they are gone.

Needless to say they are apprehensive re WA border opening on Feb 5.

God help those in the Easter States in the same boat there will be many.

And Merry Xmas everyone.

Thanks for the reminder of why we get vaccinated and put up with minor, temporary disruptions to our privileged, first-world lives; most of us are not at risk, but plenty of crew out there are, so we do it for them too.

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burleigh Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 10:06pm
overthefalls wrote:
I focus wrote:

I have a couple of mates both super fit surfers both have autoimmune diseases one has 12 months to go in treatment and recovery both been told if they get COVID no matter the variant they are gone.

Needless to say they are apprehensive re WA border opening on Feb 5.

God help those in the Easter States in the same boat there will be many.

And Merry Xmas everyone.

Thanks for the reminder of why we get vaccinated and put up with minor, temporary disruptions to our privileged, first-world lives; most of us are not at risk, but plenty of crew out there are, so we do it for them too.

I would understand this if the vaccine stopped transmission...... but IT DOESN'T.

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overthefalls Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 10:18pm

Burleigh, it’s better than letting it rip. Nothing is perfect.

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burleigh Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 10:32pm
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, it’s better than letting it rip. Nothing is perfect.

Mate, the gov lied to you. Look at transmission now, look at their predictions. It doesn’t stop transmission.
Yet they sold it to people that it would. This should concern you

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overthefalls Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 11:16pm

Burleigh, after nearly two years of all the covid cacophony, I can’t even recall being told by the government or the media that vaccinations would stop transmission. What I do recall is medical practitioners in my family telling me that the vaccinations would only reduce the risk of transmission and reduce the severity of the symptoms, hence the reduction in the likelihood of being hospitalised or even dying. That’s better than letting it rip. Sure, there are vaccinated people who have been hospitalised and some have even died, but they are a tiny minority. The reason a lot of vaccinated people contract covid is because most of the population is vaccinated. However, because they are vaccinated, most don’t get seriously ill and don’t require hospitalisation. Mate, I’m having Christmas lunch with three doctors, one of whom works in a busy ICU unit in a Sydney hospital. I’d be happy to ask them any questions you might have about all this caper.

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velocityjohnno Wednesday, 22 Dec 2021 at 11:17pm
I focus wrote:

I have a couple of mates both super fit surfers both have autoimmune diseases one has 12 months to go in treatment and recovery both been told if they get COVID no matter the variant they are gone.

Needless to say they are apprehensive re WA border opening on Feb 5.

God help those in the Easter States in the same boat there will be many.

And Merry Xmas everyone.

Good luck to your mates IFocus. Maybe I can help? OK our case numbers are low but consistent locally. These will probably increase in the next couple of months. I sense that pre-Christmas shopping is sedate here in Vic and neighbours say they are keeping heads down so not caught with a 'close contact' isolation before the important family Christmas. I'm hearing Perth pre-Christmas shopping is the usual carnage, heaps of people, psycho drivers having parking wars, etc etc. No covid means economy booms. Similarly, I wonder how many of us will withdraw our spending from the local economy as this goes on. Think of the pennies saved, and the luscious dividends...

Now I'm immune suppressed, but perhaps not to the same extent as your friends. First thing to mention is there is no 'isolate the vulnerable', that phrase is a lie (think: your nurse's kid was at kindergarten with the kid whose babysitter was at the nightclub and now you've all got it) - you can't stick the medically vulnerable in their homes and think all will be well. Multiply that risk if they need ongoing treatment in an oncology ward. I've been through the cancer wards at Fiona Stanley and that place is busy!

But you can isolate yourself to absolute minimum of contact if you are informed that exposure will end your life. Here, we will assume the pandemic will be over at some point (virus mutates to more benign even for immune-suppressed) and so a better life awaits afterward. It isn't isolation for ever. Can your friends arrange home treatment? Can this treatment be outside, in open air and using PPE? Can they divide their house if need be? Can they find someone to deliver goods/create a kitchenette etc etc? Do they have interests to keep them busy? Surf wise (may be hard in Perth) - can they find a bank or bit of beach to themselves, that is not bothered with? Can they get creative when timing a wave? Do they know a section of the reef better than anyone and can they score it off the ideal conditions? And would they want to be physically away from friends family for a couple of months although nearby? Is there anyone to talk to regularly? Are there any hobbies they might wish to learn in this time? I'm getting pretty good at CAD after all this shit. If the pandemic goes on another year, I'm going to be unreal.

Anyway good luck to them, enjoy the time they have before it opens up.

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truebluebasher Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 1:40am

NSW Dashboard
Read Surveillance reports by deducting the week / month before total/s (example)
6th Nov - 4th Dec o/s Infections 135 (Highest since Scomo's Aug/Sept Unvaxed Visa Slave's outbreak)
https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/covid-19/Documents/covid-19-sur...

End 4 Dec - Full Vax Only ( Sept > NSW split ramping 1 dose Data to stall lowering No Vax data)
Ending 4th Dec ( NSW Full Vax set is least corrupted Data.)
Total Cases 7,724 > Hospital 734 > ICU 66 > Deaths 84

NSW Omicron Infections by Vax Type (Original outbreak representing the super spreaders)
Ending 4 Dec > Full Vax (60.9%) Partial (17.4%) 1 Dose > 3 weeks + No Vax (13%)
Very similar Comparison
US 10th Dec > Boosters (32.6) / Full Vax (34.9%) / Partial (11.6%) / No Vax (20.9%)
Note Oz / US / UK
Vaccinated in all Nations are constantly infecting above their Vax % Rate demographic...
Unvaccinated are infecting below their Unvaxed % demographic ...Data keeps pumping out the same!

Very difficult to source data to back Experts call of Vaxerz spreading less Covid...Which Nation where?

4th Dec Data is now Ancient History...
So too is the next 11 Dec 2021 surveillance report before we even see it! Done & Dusted!

If Crew have muck raked this far ...they deserve some fresh data...tbb is happy to share!
21st Dec current number of NSW Covid Patients in Isolation (Based on 7 day cycle)
https://aci.health.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0007/697237/2021122...
Hospital 226 patients (30% Fully Vax > 1 dose tallies Higher + Less than 50% is No Vax)
ICU 40 Patients (20% Full Vax > 1 dose tallies Higher + Less than 50% is No Vax)
Homecare Patients 8,356 (Strictly Full Vax Patients > 65yrs) Standard Scale cost $16,000 / patient.
Healthcare Workers 1,364 (100% Mandated Fully Vaxed are in Isolation)

21st Sept NSW Home care peak = 14,447 patients
Difference being NSW is still climbing & now 50% refuse the full 14 day treatment plan.
States are seeking to reduce Care Plan Isolation to 7 days
Home care Plan is wearing thin & busting at the seams...

So! Is it enough to spread 200,000-250,000/day
This calls for Oz Record Mass Daily Test Data capacity...so what is that?
NSW 247,258 Vic 88,083 Qld 52,351 WA 27,117 SA 20,223 NT 11,401 ACT 10,040 Tas 2,729
Oz Total Test Capacity = 459,201 tests/day
Less / More (Less= Health Staff Xmas Holidays > More= States are now ramping record Tests)

Overseas Govts ( UK / US/ Singapore ) provide FREE Rapid Tests
Oz Private Health / Trade-Transit Unions / Small Business / Work / Schools demand free Lab RATs.

Explode Testing capacity with record [+] RATs.
If all this Record Mass Rapid testing fad keeps up, Oz we'll give 200,000 cases/day a good scare!
Don't need tbb to explain it any better...coz all crew clearly see, that's where we're headed!

Stats Geeks
Aug 2020 Oz has 5x more covid than reported
Feb 2021 Computer Algorithms generate anywhere from 3-8x more Covid than reported.
Many Stat Gurus back this up with 6x covid being default >20x being the high end

Experts say Omicron doubles each 2nd day!
Current record 5,710 daily cases x 5 = Geeks Data > Set loose the Big Bullies (RATs) Armada!
Kinda hittin' at half the throw away figure?
tbb is beat...needs 2nd level side data or a curved ball ...counting on the Crew to drive it home!

It's a Rat Trap & you've been caught! ... cue for a Covid Punk tune!

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truebluebasher Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 2:09am

Boomtown Rats had the answer...
School Kids have been sidelined in Test Data but RATs would count kids as equals.
UK kids count for most of the Tally....
Just suppose Oz introduced I Don't like Monday's Covid Tests...
This would catch out all Weekend Family Infections on the one day!
Now if all work places tested the same as they would...then each Tuesday or so would ramp cases.

Now one could see 200,000 case spike from that same start of the week test day result! Got it!

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 6:05am
burleigh wrote:
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, it’s better than letting it rip. Nothing is perfect.

Mate, the gov lied to you. Look at transmission now, look at their predictions. It doesn’t stop transmission.
Yet they sold it to people that it would. This should concern you

I have never heard a govt say a vaccine stops transmission. No one thinks a vaccine stops transmission…but it is a convenient bs line for you to keep parroting.

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Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:27am
Roadkill wrote:
burleigh wrote:
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, it’s better than letting it rip. Nothing is perfect.

Mate, the gov lied to you. Look at transmission now, look at their predictions. It doesn’t stop transmission.
Yet they sold it to people that it would. This should concern you

I have never heard a govt say a vaccine stops transmission. No one thinks a vaccine stops transmission…but it is a convenient bs line for you to keep parroting.

Ummm…preventing covid was the initial sales pitch for the vaccines for the first few months of their roll out. You were there bloke. You’ve just blocked it out to make room for more lies in your tiny brain. Lies such as “We aren’t sure about the severity of Omicold at this early stage”.

Here’s the President of the United States saying that if you’re vaccinated you will not die from covid, you will not get sick from covid and in fact you will not even get covid at all.

The CDC mouthpiece also says that if you’re vaccinated you don’t need to wear a mask.

Lies bloke lies.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/07/22/rem...

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aaron61 Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:23am
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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:26am
Blowin wrote:
Roadkill wrote:
burleigh wrote:
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, it’s better than letting it rip. Nothing is perfect.

Mate, the gov lied to you. Look at transmission now, look at their predictions. It doesn’t stop transmission.
Yet they sold it to people that it would. This should concern you

I have never heard a govt say a vaccine stops transmission. No one thinks a vaccine stops transmission…but it is a convenient bs line for you to keep parroting.

Ummm…preventing covid was the initial sales pitch for the vaccines for the first few months of their roll out. You were there bloke. You’ve just blocked it out to make room for more lies in your tiny brain. Lies such as “We aren’t sure about the severity of Omicold at this early stage”.

Snowflake, govts saying…..vaccines stop transmissions, was the quote, often used by the the anti crowd in here (you included).

Simply incorrect and a lie.

That is all.

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:27am

Blowing talking about lies. Ho hum.

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aaron61 Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:27am

"I have never heard a govt say a vaccine stops transmission".

They never said this either:
https://news.trust.org/item/20211222130815-29zh3

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Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:34am
aaron61 wrote:

https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-nov...

As usual that report fails to relay the difference between the relative risk reduction, which their trials attempt to measure and the absolute risk reduction which measures your actual chance of getting seriously sick or dying from covid.

The trials find its better to push jabs than if their marketing says that a healthy sub 50 yr old unvaccinated person has a 99.995% chance of not being hospitalised for covid , whilst a healthy Sub 50 yr old vaccinated person has a 99.99995% chance of being hospitalised for covid.

That’s your 90% reduction in real terms.

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aaron61 Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 7:41am

Well that makes me feel better.

At least I won't be out of pocket...

https://www.servicesaustralia.gov.au/node/55963?context=55953&fbclid=IwA...

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Supafreak Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 8:00am

I really don’t know what to make of this , it appears that he said it but I don’t know of countries that are already giving boosters to children. Is he talking about 16 to 18 years ? thttps://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/press-conference-who-chief-dr-tedros?r.... https://www.medpagetoday.com/special-reports/exclusives/95964. Does anyone think that video has been tampered with ? Hard to believe he would say this .

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Supafreak Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 8:14am

Possibly went to say kids then changed mid sentence to children ? Came out very wrong .

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saltyone Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 8:36am
burleigh's picture
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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 8:41am
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, after nearly two years of all the covid cacophony, I can’t even recall being told by the government or the media that vaccinations would stop transmission. What I do recall is medical practitioners in my family telling me that the vaccinations would only reduce the risk of transmission and reduce the severity of the symptoms, hence the reduction in the likelihood of being hospitalised or even dying. That’s better than letting it rip. Sure, there are vaccinated people who have been hospitalised and some have even died, but they are a tiny minority. The reason a lot of vaccinated people contract covid is because most of the population is vaccinated. However, because they are vaccinated, most don’t get seriously ill and don’t require hospitalisation. Mate, I’m having Christmas lunch with three doctors, one of whom works in a busy ICU unit in a Sydney hospital. I’d be happy to ask them any questions you might have about all this caper.

You are so full of it. Part of their pitch to get vaccinated was to “stop the spread” and protect the vulnerable. It’s clear now that it doesn’t do this and it was a lie.
Two weeks ago QLD premier was saying “the virus hunts down the vaccinated” meaning that if you’re vaccinated you won’t catch it.
All lies.
That’s great your having Christmas with Doctors, so am I actually.
My brother in law is an emergency doctor in Brisbane kinda scary that he’s obese and eats shit everyday.
Just because they have an education doesn’t make them smart.

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I focus Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 8:55am

VJ thanks for taking the time, its a tough gig you're on.

One of the guys is setup as you describe its not just about COVID but also avoiding the flu any infection etc, the other is pretty reckless by comparison.

I see the words panic and fear gets thrown around a lot mocking those that are trying to do the right thing.

Both the guys have been to the edge of death (as many in the same boat have) and are well beyond those emotions now its just a gritty reality of negotiating the next step day by day relying on those around them to do the right thing.

Stay safe Bloke.

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monkeyboy Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:01am

Restaurants up here having to close down because of close contacts dining there or staff quitting; busiest time of the year too. The single testing tent setup in the AFL ground has had zero customers for 9 months and now there is a long line of cars every day. Whats goin' on !

What was the point of getting vaccinated ? https://www.afr.com/companies/tourism/noosa-restaurants-slammed-by-covid...

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old-dog Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:07am

Only about 10% of the population are unvaccinated yet 90% of people in ICU are unvaccinated, now I'm no genius but to me this says more than all the pages of absolute garbage from the ignorant self entitled anti science covidiots on this thread.

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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:21am
old-dog wrote:

Only about 10% of the population are unvaccinated yet 90% of people in ICU are unvaccinated, now I'm no genius but to me this says more than all the pages of absolute garbage from the ignorant self entitled anti science covidiots on this thread.

Show me these ICU stats old dog. Yeah one state had 90% unvaccinated or partially vaccinated and from memory it was 33 people in ICU (not really a relevant number TBH) what is their age, how obese are they, we’re they admitted to hospital for a different reason? What about the other states. Don’t just throw around random numbers and percentages without giving context. Leave that to the premiers to create fear

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:25am

Perrottet back flips after huge increase in infections.

What a surprise...was a dick move to stop masks and go full open.

guy is a tosser

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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:26am
monkeyboy wrote:

Restaurants up here having to close down because of close contacts dining there or staff quitting; busiest time of the year too. The single testing tent setup in the AFL ground has had zero customers for 9 months and now there is a long line of cars every day. Whats goin' on !

What was the point of getting vaccinated ? https://www.afr.com/companies/tourism/noosa-restaurants-slammed-by-covid...

Anyone that got jabbed for their “freedumbs” has been conned.
The biggest con is checking in, the sell it to you as it’s here to help keep you safe and the people bought it.
The same way google maps sold the use of their maps, now everyone uses it and little do you know your EVERY move is being tracked

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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:27am
Roadkill wrote:

Perrottet back flips after huge increase in infections.

What a surprise...was a dick move to stop masks and go full open.

guy is a tosser

He backflipped because of crybaby pussies like yourself, vic moron and co scared to breath fresh air

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overthefalls Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:28am
burleigh wrote:
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, after nearly two years of all the covid cacophony, I can’t even recall being told by the government or the media that vaccinations would stop transmission. What I do recall is medical practitioners in my family telling me that the vaccinations would only reduce the risk of transmission and reduce the severity of the symptoms, hence the reduction in the likelihood of being hospitalised or even dying. That’s better than letting it rip. Sure, there are vaccinated people who have been hospitalised and some have even died, but they are a tiny minority. The reason a lot of vaccinated people contract covid is because most of the population is vaccinated. However, because they are vaccinated, most don’t get seriously ill and don’t require hospitalisation. Mate, I’m having Christmas lunch with three doctors, one of whom works in a busy ICU unit in a Sydney hospital. I’d be happy to ask them any questions you might have about all this caper.

You are so full of it. Part of their pitch to get vaccinated was to “stop the spread” and protect the vulnerable. It’s clear now that it doesn’t do this and it was a lie.
Two weeks ago QLD premier was saying “the virus hunts down the vaccinated” meaning that if you’re vaccinated you won’t catch it.
All lies.
That’s great your having Christmas with Doctors, so am I actually.
My brother in law is an emergency doctor in Brisbane kinda scary that he’s obese and eats shit everyday.
Just because they have an education doesn’t make them smart.

We’ll have to agree to disagree, Burleigh. If you think I’m so full of it, then that extends to the medical establishment. It must be really frustrating for you to think that you’re right and that most medical professionals are wrong. Have a happy Christmas and don’t let all this covid caper get to you; it’s not good for one’s mental health.

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:28am
burleigh wrote:
Roadkill wrote:

Perrottet back flips after huge increase in infections.

What a surprise...was a dick move to stop masks and go full open.

guy is a tosser

He backflipped because of crybaby pussies like yourself, vic moron and co scared to breath fresh air

Yawn

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Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:32am

Seriously Roadkill, fuck off with your lock down mentality. I get it that you’re immune compromised but that’s your deal. You cannot be tha5 selfish to expect the rest of the planet to accomodate your ill health. You are the tosser bloke.

I’m surrounded by old people in varying states of ill health and they don’t want to live their remaining days being chickenshit scared like you propose and nor do the millions of healthy Australians.

Shut your lips with your demands. Lock yourself in your house if you are that scared. It’s just a fucking flu now FFS.

Do you act like this every year for the flu you softcock?

You are more likely to get knocked off your MAMIL machine Penny farthing than die of covid even if you are immune compromised. Get a spine.

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:31am

These anti vax clowns just sit infront of their PCs all day...just waiting for someone to comment...they reply within a few seconds...imagine life is waiting for the opportunity to troll on swellnet.

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:34am
Blowin wrote:

Seriously Roadkill, fuck off with your lock down mentality. I get it that you’re immune compromised but that’s your deal. You cannot be tha5 selfish to expect the rest of the planet to accomodate your ill health. You are the tosser bloke.

I’m surrounded by old people in varying states of ill health and they don’t want to live their remaining days being chickenshit scared like you propose and nor do the millions of healthy Australians.

Shut your lips with your demands. Lock yourself in your house if you are that scared. It’s just a fucking flu now FFS.

Do you act like this every year for the flu you softcock?

Yes snowflake...no one else in the world has nearly every family member reacting to a vax and multiple deaths from the vax also...They are falling like dominos at the blowin household.

It's as if you're.........lying. lmao

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Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:35am

You are more likely to get knocked off your MAMIL machine Penny farthing than die of covid even if you are immune compromised. Get a spine.

lmao...that is pretty funny blowhard!

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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:36am
overthefalls wrote:
burleigh wrote:
overthefalls wrote:

Burleigh, after nearly two years of all the covid cacophony, I can’t even recall being told by the government or the media that vaccinations would stop transmission. What I do recall is medical practitioners in my family telling me that the vaccinations would only reduce the risk of transmission and reduce the severity of the symptoms, hence the reduction in the likelihood of being hospitalised or even dying. That’s better than letting it rip. Sure, there are vaccinated people who have been hospitalised and some have even died, but they are a tiny minority. The reason a lot of vaccinated people contract covid is because most of the population is vaccinated. However, because they are vaccinated, most don’t get seriously ill and don’t require hospitalisation. Mate, I’m having Christmas lunch with three doctors, one of whom works in a busy ICU unit in a Sydney hospital. I’d be happy to ask them any questions you might have about all this caper.

You are so full of it. Part of their pitch to get vaccinated was to “stop the spread” and protect the vulnerable. It’s clear now that it doesn’t do this and it was a lie.
Two weeks ago QLD premier was saying “the virus hunts down the vaccinated” meaning that if you’re vaccinated you won’t catch it.
All lies.
That’s great your having Christmas with Doctors, so am I actually.
My brother in law is an emergency doctor in Brisbane kinda scary that he’s obese and eats shit everyday.
Just because they have an education doesn’t make them smart.

We’ll have to agree to disagree, Burleigh. If you think I’m so full of it, then that extends to the medical establishment. It must be really frustrating for you to think that you’re right and that most medical professionals are wrong. Have a happy Christmas and don’t let all this covid caper get to you; it’s not good for one’s mental health.

I’ve never felt more free actually, my eyes have been opened to the biggest fraud in history.

I’m happy to agree to disagree regarding adults, however I damn well hope you don’t think kids should get vaccinated “to protect the vulnerable”

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Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:37am
Roadkill wrote:

These anti vax clowns just sit infront of their PCs all day...just waiting for someone to comment...they reply within a few seconds...imagine life is waiting for the opportunity to troll on swellnet.

Yeah nah….I just got back from a surf. I’m pretty cooked after being awake for most of the night helping an 86 year old bloke who’s got Parkinson’s, had a stroke, Ross River fever and prostate cancer all in the last decade and he’s still far, far less chickenshit scared than you. He’d never dream of demanding healthy young people wear face nappies and get jabbed with toxic shit to protect him.

So I’m tired and completely lacking patience or tolerance for your constant bleating that others need to make sacrifices to protect you whilst you simultaneously label others as snowflakes and cry babies…..that some bizarre twisted ironic shit.

Sort yourself out and be grateful for what people do for you instead of demanding MOAR and MOAR.

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Vic Local Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:46am

Oh look. Blowin the big manly man is calling people chickenshit again. 5000+ cases in NSW today. Hospitalisations going up too now. All so fucking predictable given the idiocy of scumo, Perrotett blowin and his fellow travellers. But tell us again why we’re all softcocks you big virile man you.

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burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:51am

We’re 2 years into the pandemic and governments/ MSM are still yet to promote:

Vitamin D
Zinc
Healthy weight
Daily exercise
Meditation
Nutrition
Eliminating sugar and bad fats

Just a vaccination that you’re soon going to need every 3 or 4 months for your “health” and vaccine passports even though it’s now obvious that vaccinated still spread the virus at a very high rate.

But overthefalls, VicMoron, roadkill and blind boy still want us to just blindly trust the science. Give me a break

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Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:53am

Overthefslls- I don’t think most medical professionals are wrong, I think they have the truth edited for them. Ask your doctor relatives what percentage of healthy younger people they have seen endure severe covid.

There’s absolutely millions and millions of healthy younger ( sub 50) Australians, ask them to put a number to how many they have seen affected by covid beyond a few days illness.

It’s a virus which effects the old, the obese and the infirm to a ridiculously outsized degree. Ask them if they think a young healthy person is more likely to die on the roads or with covid. Perhaps ask them why the government , health officials and media have utterly refused to place any onus on people to lose weight considering it’s a hugely contributing factor in severe covid ( present in 80% of hectic conditions) . Ask them why the government, media and health officials have maintained that the virus is as equally serious throughout all of society when this is demonstrably untrue with the old, the infirm and the obese being so highly over represented in serious outcomes as to be ridiculous.

Ask them why children need 3 shots of a Pfizer jab due to the claim that 2 shots leaves their immune system too weak , despite serious illness in children being extremely uncommon and death so rare that in Australia there has been zero child mortality.

Ask them why it’s considered a covid hospitalisation for statistics despite the fact that covid may not be the primary or even a majorly contributing cause to their hospitalisation. Ask why influenza is not accounted for using the same metric when influenza is often equally present in hospital patients without meriting such accounting.

Ask if the Omicold death and hospitalisation rate in Australia is worse than a hectic flu year and why we would consider mitigation measures for one and not the other.

Ask them why the cycle rate for PCR tests in Australia is set so high that the results are basically meaningless and ask how this can be allowed to continue considering that the state of society is assessed based on the metrics attained through these useless tests.

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:54am
Vic Local wrote:

Oh look. Blowin the big manly man is calling people chickenshit again. 5000+ cases in NSW today. Hospitalisations going up too now. All so fucking predictable given the idiocy of scumo, Perrotett blowin and his fellow travellers. But tell us again why we’re all softcocks you big virile man you.

5700 actually, yet the vaccination rate in 94% (roughly) so can we please now agree that being vaccinated doesn’t stop the spread.

Another “conspiracy theory” that’s come true

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 9:59am
Vic Local wrote:

Oh look. Blowin the big manly man is calling people chickenshit again. 5000+ cases in NSW today. Hospitalisations going up too now. All so fucking predictable given the idiocy of scumo, Perrotett blowin and his fellow travellers. But tell us again why we’re all softcocks you big virile man you.

You’re back to this again even though I’ve already explained it? I’m not brave , I just look brave next to a grown man who is scared of the flu…..that’s you bloke.

You’re a softcock because Omicold is basically the flu and you’re scared shitless to the point that you demand other people wear face nappies to alley your irrational fear.

You’re the bloke who calls strong swimmers who swim at unpatrolled beaches “ macho show offs “ cause you’re too chickenshit to venture into waist deep water without a lifeguard on a JetSki ordering you between the flags.

Case numbers!!!!

Pfffft …..fuck,off.

Panic bloke!

And don’t forget to fill out those demands for taxpayer handouts ya scab.

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:05am
burleigh wrote:
Vic Local wrote:

Oh look. Blowin the big manly man is calling people chickenshit again. 5000+ cases in NSW today. Hospitalisations going up too now. All so fucking predictable given the idiocy of scumo, Perrotett blowin and his fellow travellers. But tell us again why we’re all softcocks you big virile man you.

5700 actually, yet the vaccination rate in 94% (roughly) so can we please now agree that being vaccinated doesn’t stop the spread.

Another “conspiracy theory” that’s come true

No one thinks that a vax stops Covid spreading. No one ever did. Ever.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:10am

What kind of chickenshit society has Australia become when a fella in the second most covid affected state isn’t allowed to express no particular fear about the virus without others saying he’s guilty of “ toxic masculinity and overt bravado”?

You know what the statistics for covid in NSW are ?

112525 cases at least. The numbers could be multiples of that because people without symptoms ( most people) don’t get tested.

Out of this there has been a whopping 648 people die in two years. That’s less than a person a day. With an average age of 83 years old. And more than likely those who are counted as covid deaths were dying anyway and just happened to test positive to covid.

Why the fuck would any right minded person still act like a chickenshit softcock when those hard and fast statistics are presented to them?

Because they want to be scared or they’re too stupid to figure out how overhyped this bullshit has been or they are making the Ching Ching by grifting off taxpayer stimulus money like old bloke VIC “ Grift hard “ local.

Get your hand off it soft cock. You’re a disgrace. Go cower in your basement and leave the rest of us alone.

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:14am

I’ll tell you why you’re soft cocks if you like

Early on in the pandemic my 19 year old clean eating daughter went into lockdown so hard to stop the spread that there was a period of about 6 weeks she didn’t leave the perimeter of our home and yard. She did that for you, not for herself. Now that the government following health orders have issued directives you want to whinge about and don’t want to accept life is about give and take. You want it your way again. It’s time for you to give her some freedom. You can bang on your keyboard all you like that you are more important than her but you are wrong, we are all equal and it’s time to share the load. Make a sacrifice yourself for once, the lockdown suited you so it’s not a sacrifice

Don’t even get me started on my 83 year old former doctor father with 3 co morbidities that also wants his freedom now. Blowin’s “spine” assessment is true

Omicron is not delta, and this will be here for the rest of our lives. Stop putting off the inevitable and get used to it already, you guys are taking forever

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:13am
Roadkill wrote:
burleigh wrote:
Vic Local wrote:

Oh look. Blowin the big manly man is calling people chickenshit again. 5000+ cases in NSW today. Hospitalisations going up too now. All so fucking predictable given the idiocy of scumo, Perrotett blowin and his fellow travellers. But tell us again why we’re all softcocks you big virile man you.

5700 actually, yet the vaccination rate in 94% (roughly) so can we please now agree that being vaccinated doesn’t stop the spread.

Another “conspiracy theory” that’s come true

No one thinks that a vax stops Covid spreading. No one ever did. Ever.

Says the guy who’s been relentlessly saying the unvaccinated shouldn’t be allowed out in society because they’re the ones transmitting covid.

Your whole crybaby schtick has been about others spreading covid cause they’re unvaccinated and now you’re trying to say “No one ever said the vaccinated don’t spread covid”.

Fuck me….the level of brain fried chicken shit soft cock is out of control in you bloke. You honestly don’t even know why you were demanding the apartheid of millions of people.

Dum cnt.

overthefalls's picture
overthefalls's picture
overthefalls Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:18am
Blowin wrote:

Overthefslls- I don’t think most medical professionals are wrong, I think they have the truth edited for them. Ask your doctor relatives what percentage of healthy younger people they have seen endure severe covid.

There’s absolutely millions and millions of healthy younger ( sub 50) Australians, ask them to put a number to how many they have seen affected by covid beyond a few days illness.

It’s a virus which effects the old, the obese and the infirm to a ridiculously outsized degree. Ask them if they think a young healthy person is more likely to die on the roads or with covid. Perhaps ask them why the government , health officials and media have utterly refused to place any onus on people to lose weight considering it’s a hugely contributing factor in severe covid ( present in 80% of hectic conditions) . Ask them why the government, media and health officials have maintained that the virus is as equally serious throughout all of society when this is demonstrably untrue with the old, the infirm and the obese being so highly over represented in serious outcomes as to be ridiculous.

Ask them why children need 3 shots of a Pfizer jab due to the claim that 2 shots leaves their immune system too weak , despite serious illness in children being extremely uncommon and death so rare that in Australia there has been zero child mortality.

Ask them why it’s considered a covid hospitalisation for statistics despite the fact that covid may not be the primary or even a majorly contributing cause to their hospitalisation. Ask why influenza is not accounted for using the same metric when influenza is often equally present in hospital patients without meriting such accounting.

Ask if the Omicold death and hospitalisation rate in Australia is worse than a hectic flu year and why we would consider mitigation measures for one and not the other.

Ask them why the cycle rate for PCR tests in Australia is set so high that the results are basically meaningless and ask how this can be allowed to continue considering that the state of society is assessed based on the metrics attained through these useless tests.

Will do, Blowin. Have a great Chrissy, mate.

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump Thursday, 23 Dec 2021 at 10:23am

Here’s a zeitgeist for you

Anti freedom is the new anti vax

Try to keep up