The trough looks to rapidly deepen into a broad surface low off the Far South or Gippsland Coast o/night Mon into Tues. There’s still model divergence over the strength and position of this low which will have material impacts on surf size and local winds so stay tuned for updates over the weekend and on Mon.
We have a broad front passing into the Tasman and a northwards moving trough, with a high pressure ridge filling in behind those short range features. The front will supply workable levels of S swell Sun but winds will be a problem with a a mod/fresh S’ly flow, tending SE’ly- E’ly during the day.
Swells with a bit of west in their direction continue to favour the Mid Coast.
The trough looks to rapidly deepen into a broad surface low off the Far South or Gippsland Coast o/night Mon into Tues. There’s still model divergence over the strength and position of this low which will have material impacts on surf size and local winds so stay tuned for updates over the weekend and on Mon.
The coming period will provide plenty of opportunity for great quality surf but you'll have to be all over the local winds.
Biggest swell in months due next week.
There is some hope ahead as a new high moves into the Tasman Mon, and builds a ridge up the QLD coast. We should see surf build on Tues as SE winds increase, then maintain a fun sized surf as tradewinds develop through the Coral Sea.
The coming period will continue to provide swell, it's just the local winds you need to work around.
From there things get more dynamic. The crux of it is a trough moving NE from Bass Strait which looks to rapidly deepen later Mon, possibly forming a broad surface low in the Tasman NE of Tasmania.
Tomorrow looks great with a large, reinforcing swell with excellent winds, deteriorating next week with the arrival of one of the biggest swells of the year.
