Southern Tasmanian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday October 9th)

Best Days: Friday morning, Saturday morning, Sunday morning, Tuesday morning selected spots

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny Thu AM ahead of a late increase in W'ly swell with strong W tending strong W/SW winds
• Small W/SW swell Fri AM with N/NW tending strong W winds
• Late increase in W/SW and SW swells Fri, peaking Sat with W/NW tending fresh S/SE winds
• Easing swell Sun with N tending S winds
• Moderate sized S/SW groundswell building Mon with SE winds, peaking Tue AM with NE winds

Recap

There was a window of lumpy conditions yesterday morning before winds reverted back onshore along with pulsey 3ft+ sets across Clifton.

Today the energy is more S’th and easing with 2ft+ sets across CLifton with morning offshores.

This week and next (Oct 10 - 18)

The current swell will continue to ease into tomorrow leaving tiny surf under a strong W tending W/SW breeze.

This change will be linked to a strong frontal system pushing under us and with this we’ll see building levels of W’ly swell later tomorrow, peaking Friday morning to 2ft with fresh N/NW tending stronger W/NW then W/SW winds as the next swell producing front crosses us.

With this a further pulse of swell is due later Friday, peaking Saturday morning to 3ft+. There’ll actually be quite a mix of swells in the mix Saturday from the earlier incarnations of the system moving through Friday. 

Winds should tend W/NW through the morning ahead of fresh S/SE sea breezes while Sunday should see morning N’ly winds ahead of a trough and shallow S’ly change. The surf should still be 2ft+ but on the ease.

Looking at early next week and a low forming off the coast to our north-east looks to bring tricky winds from the eastern quadrant along with a moderate sized S/SW groundswell. More on this Friday.