The complex low pressure gyre is slowly moving under Tasmania with the majority of any swell generating winds in the swell shadow of Tasmania. Hot air being dragged down from tropical Australia is now slowly being displaced by the cooler air from the Southern Ocean and driving a synoptic W’ly flow across temperate NSW with the sub-tropics still subject to hot, Spring-like N’lies.

Great conditions for protected spots with plenty of swell, well worth capitalising on.

Across the Coral Sea we’ll see a slight increase in tradewinds around a broad E’ly dip near New Caledonia which will perk wave heights up through Wed into the 1-2ft range, albeit with N’ly winds.

Unfortunately this strong cold outbreak now looks to stall just too far West (behind the swell shadow of Tasmania) to really deliver any strong S swell to the East Coast, before weakening as it moves into the Tasman Sea swell window proper. We will see small S swell pulses.