Fun days of surf ahead

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday March 8th)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday, Saturday morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Easing moderate sized W/SW swell tomorrow with N/NW tending W/NW winds
  • Smaller Fri and Sat but steadying with N/NW tending W winds on Fri, N ahead of S sea breezes Sat
  • Building S/SW swell Sun PM with W/NW winds ahead of a fresh, late AM change
  • Easing swell Mon with variable tending S/SE winds

Recap

Easing surf through yesterday with clean conditions and tiny 1ft waves for beginners. This morning started slow and full but the swell has since kicked more with 2ft sets showing across Clifton and more to come. We should see the W/SW swell hitting 2-3ft this afternoon as winds hold out of the west.

Increase in size this afternoon

This week and next (Mar 9 – 17)

This afternoon's building W/SW swell should reach 2-3ft through late this afternoon and evening across Clifton, easing from a similar, inconsistent 2ft to occasionally 3ft through the morning.

Weaker N/NW winds are due tomorrow, opening up plenty of options, before shifting W/NW through the afternoon.

From Friday and into the weekend, we should see fun levels of reinforcing mid-period SW swell impacting the state, generated by weak fetches of W/SW-SW winds on the backside of the slow moving, Southern Ocean gyre that's been sitting west of us.

2ft surf should continue through Friday and Saturday, while a slightly stronger burst of sub-gale-force SW winds in our more southern swell window Saturday, should provide a boost to 3ft into Sunday afternoon, easing back from 2ft to occasionally 3ft Monday morning.

Winds should be favourable with N/NW tending lighter W winds on Friday, N/NW tending S on Saturday. Sunday should see morning W/NW winds, but a late morning S'ly change will kick in, spoiling the new swell into the afternoon.

It should clean up again into Monday with a variable N'ly offshore ahead of sea breezes.

Longer term the rest of the week looks quiet, so make the most of the coming surf.

Comments

Surf Turkey's picture
Surf Turkey's picture
Surf Turkey Wednesday, 8 Mar 2023 at 5:19pm

Any thoughts on the very very long period readings on the Maria Island buoy Craig?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 8 Mar 2023 at 10:23pm

Will have a scope tomorrow.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Thursday, 9 Mar 2023 at 7:23am

Agh, looks to be erroneous data.