No great change to the weekend f/cast. Low pressure has moved off the coast and is slow moving, with a broad fetch of strong E’ly winds on the southern flank of the low supplying plenty of E’ly swell to NE Tasmania.
Further ahead and some weather model runs are starting to look pretty damn juicy with respect to a developing TC in the South Pacific moving into the Coral Sea later next week. Still very early days but a full blown cyclone swell is now a definite possibility, possibly as early as next weekend and into the week 9/12
The weekend will be poor while next week holds more promises with a fun, prolonged W/SW swell event.
Low pressure has moved off the coast and is slow moving, with a broad fetch of strong E’ly winds on the southern flank of the low supplying plenty of E-E/SE swell to Southern NSW (and Tasmania).
The coming weekend looks poor wind and swell wise, while into next week some fun, but inconsistent westerly swell is due with workable winds.
Slight upgrade in next week's fun SW swell.
A new high pressure system moves E of Tasmania next week and there is some suggestion we’ll see a SE surge up the coast Tues, with a developing trade-wind flow through the rest of next week. Models are still divergent about the strength of the tradewinds so we’ll keep our jets cooled at far as size goes for now.
A dynamic weather event is underway as a complex inland low approaches the Far South Coast of NSW, expected to enter the Tasman Sea tomorrow. A moist NE-E/NE infeed into the low is generating plenty of rain (heaviest falls on the South Coast) and building swells from the same direction, focussed on NETas. We’ll see large surf develop across NETas as the low moves offshore tomorrow.
The coming days and weekend look poor for surf, with a fun window for early next week.
In the South Pacific the previously active area near the Solomons that has already spawned two tropical cyclones looks to flare up again next week with convective activity enhanced by a cross-equatorial flow. We may see a new tropical depression or even cyclone form later next week, with uncertain surf potential at this very early stage.
