Strong onshore winds will move in tomorrow, with a weak windswell for Sunday. A large, strong groundswell is due next week.
A good but inconsistent swell is due later today and for the weekend with favourable morning winds.
It’s slow (2-3kts) S/SW track between 158-156E is in the acute N/NE swell window- even though that part of the window tends to be flukey due to interference from reefs and it’s reliance on a perfect track to clear Fraser and the Breaksea Spit. That aids confidence in some steeply angled N/NE-NE groundswell from STC Jasper over the weekend.
TC Jasper is set to take a W’ly track with a Far North QLD coastal crossing now the most likely outcome and thus no real surf potential for temperate NSW.
Tiny levels of W/SW swell and strong S-SE winds for the weekend. Next week is dynamic with improving winds and a strong S/SW groundswell.
Make the most of today as the weekend looks poor. A strong groundswell is due next Tuesday, cleanest as it eases from Wednesday.
Slowly easing swell, with another fun pulse early next week.
By Fri Cat 3 or above TC Jasper will be in the middle of the Coral Sea with increasing swells for CQ.
The troughy pattern we’ve seen since early November continues, with surf potential continuing to favor small swells from infeeds into the trough.
TC Jasper has formed in water surrounding the Solomon Islands and is intensifying under favourable conditions. Most models now are suggesting a SW-W curvature as it enters the Coral Sea, with a smaller surf potential compared to Mondays notes as it crosses the coast instead of tracking through the Coral Sea.
