A weak ridge up the sub-tropics has a lighter E’ly flow with stronger N-NE winds south of the MNC down to the South Coast and Tasmania. We’ll see this pattern persist with increasing NE windswell across NE Tas this week. A strong frontal progression is expected to provide a series of S swells next week.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/08/active-period-ahead-sizey-ne-winds-swell-and
freeride76
Wednesday, 8 November 2023
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/06/plenty-workable-ne-windswell-biggest-late-in
freeride76
Monday, 6 November 2023
The high initially weakens with a lighter onshore flow before re-strengthening as it approaches New Zealand and has the pressure gradient tightened on the western flank by the complex trough systems. That will produce a N’ly flow, expected to increase as the week goes on with increasing NE windswell late in the week and early weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/03/ne-windswell-next-week-looking-solid-the-end
freeride76
Friday, 3 November 2023
Into next week and the main story is a large high moving into the Tasman and becoming slow moving, setting up a summer-style blocking pattern with developing NE winds and NE windswell, becoming solid by the end of the week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/11/01/not-much-interest-short-term-extended-ne
freeride76
Wednesday, 1 November 2023
Under current modelling this should be an extended event as the N'ly fetch persists and actually increases later next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/30/small-blend-swells-in-the-short-term-not-much
freeride76
Monday, 30 October 2023
Into next week and more marginal swells not offering much in the way of size. It’ll likely be ankle snappers for at least the first half of next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/27/persistent-quality-swells-over-the-weekend-and
freeride76
Friday, 27 October 2023
We’ve already seen solid S swells in NETas from the frontal system with smaller surf expected from the sub-tropical low system.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/25/plenty-size-the-s-quality-swell-the-ene-next
freeride76
Wednesday, 25 October 2023
Spectacular charts more characteristic of late Summer/Autumn with a Cat 5 TC in the South Pacific bearing down on Vanuatu, and a powerful frontal intrusion poised to enter the Tasman Sea backed by a monster high in the Bight.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/23/swell-around-the-compass-week-some-it-sizey
freeride76
Monday, 23 October 2023
The powerful surface low in the Northern Tasman this weekend is expected to send some quality E/NE swell down to NETas.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/20/lots-action-the-ne-weekend-strong-s-event-later
freeride76
Friday, 20 October 2023
The fetch is very broad, basically the entire lower Tasman covered in gales under current modelling. That suggests plenty of size from the S-S/SE Thurs, persisting into Fri.
/reports/forecaster-notes/eastern-tasmania/2023/10/18/quiet-end-the-week-good-prospects-the-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 18 October 2023
Nothing much of interest in the short run. A deep polar low sends some small long period S swell wrap to the Coast tomorrow.
