A much stronger and more aggressive frontal intrusion Fri looks to see S swell spike in the a’noon with tiny surf building rapidly into the evening.
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High pressure is slowly advancing over Tasmania bringing settled conditions and light winds. No great change to the weekend f/cast. Todays S swell levels off a notch through Sat.
Polar lows are expected to send some more small S pulses later this week into the weekend.
In fact, it becomes reinforced by a new high and this peanut high straddling Tasmania will set up a right of S’ly winds which will tend E’ly later in the week as high pressure moves to the E of the Island. Some polar low activity will supply some small S groundswell pulses this week.
Into next week and light winds Mon and Tues as high pressure approaches the state. Not much swell on tap.
A storm force polar low is better aimed at Pacific targets but we’ll still see some long period S groundswell from it this weekend, with the proviso that S’ly winds will remain persistent.
A strong frontal progression will bring S’ly groundswell during the week. Later fronts in the far southern/central Tasman remain strong and although better aimed at Pacific targets we’ll still see some significant sideband S’ly energy from them.
By Tues we’ll see a powerful front sweep past the state with a zonal fetch. We’ll see some small S swell wrap to 2-3ft at S facing beaches Tues.
Windy S swells continue into Wed as another major high well south of the Bight shifts E and a series of fronts sweeps across the lower Tasman.
Stronger S swell on offer for Thurs as a trailing fetch slingshots into the Tasman on an already active sea state.