Eastern Tasmanian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday October 4th)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Sunday, Wednesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized E/SE groundswell tomorrow with an easing N/NE windswell
• NW-W/NW winds most of tomorrow, tending S'ly in the south through the PM
• Easing E/SE swell Sun, fading Mon
• N/NW tending strong W winds into Sun PM
• Strong NW tending W/SW-SW winds
• Moderate + sized S'ly swell building Tue, peaking Wed with winds a little unsure

Recap

Small surf yesterday morning, while into the afternoon winds strengthened creating deteriorating conditions.

Today the northerly has strengthened further kicking up a N/NE windswell from 1-2ft early to the 3ft range.

This weekend and next week (Oct 5 - 11)

The current N/NE windswell building across the region is due to peak overnight and ease rapidly tomorrow as a W’ly change cuts off the infeed of N/NE winds.

With this we’ll see easing 2ft+ sets but with the arrival of a new E/SE groundswell.

The low linked to this groundswell reached a peak in intensity yesterday off New Zealand's North Island, with it now weakening while swinging more into our swell window.

With this we should see a peak in E/SE groundswell tomorrow, with easing levels of mid-period swell on Sunday.

Open beaches are still expected to come in around 4ft+ tomorrow, easing slowly from 3ft on Sunday and then 1-2ft Monday.

A W/NW breeze is due most of tomorrow, with a S/SW change moving through southern locations into the afternoon, while Sunday should see N/NW winds, shifting W’ly into the afternoon.

Monday looks clean most of the day with strong NW tending W/SW-SW winds.

Into next week, a small low intensifying up our coast on Monday and Tuesday should generate some close-range S’ly swell Tuesday afternoon ahead of some better S’ly groundswell into Wednesday. We’re looking at a great fetch of S/SW gales, and this should produce 4-5ft of swell across the south magnets though winds are a little uncertain. Check back here Monday for more on this. Have a great weekend!