We’ve still got a broad trade wind flow in the Coral Sea, extending out into the South Pacific and anchored head and tail by low pressure along the monsoon trough. That’s producing plenty of surf in the sub-tropics although we’ll now see a slow easing trend into the end of the week.
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We’ve still got our late Summer pattern next week with high pressure straddling New Zealand, a monsoon trough strung across Northern Australia extending into the South Pacific and a long, broad tradewind fetch between the two broadscale atmospheric features.
We currently have a weaker cell in the Tasman, with a much stronger cell entering the Bight. This dominant high pressure belt will set up a long, broad tradewind fetch through the Coral Sea, extending at times into the Northern Tasman and South Pacific.
We should see rideable surf develop through Wed as a SE surge builds across the region and extends out into the Coral Sea.
Tradewinds start to thicken up from the Coral Sea into the Northern Tasman so we should see some E/SE swell start to build, possibly as early as Thurs.
We’ll see a new high move into the Tasman next week with healthier looking tradewind flow in the Coral Sea.
Further ahead and we should see high pressure become slow moving in the Tasman next week. A moderate trade-flow looks to set up in the Coral Sea, with workable trade-wind swells across CQ for the second half of next week. Either way, nothing dramatic in the tropics on the radar, so we’ll come back Wed and see how it’s looking.
Not much else on the radar after that- looks like a very quiet start to Autumn with some small/tiny days to end next week and enter the first weekend of March.
E’ly winds continue into next week, through this period and in fact most of next week we’ll continue to see pulsey E’ly swells coming off the deep E’ly fetch.
Multiple cells of reinforcing high pressure then one by one move into the Tasman, maintaining a weak ridge up the NSW Coast and a deep E’ly flow through the South Pacific and Eastern Coral Sea, with resulting E’ly swells favouring the sub-tropics for size, with a rebuild in size expected later this week.