We’ve got a bog standard south swell ahead for the weekend. Expect a delay on the upwards phase of this swell in the Far North through Saturday.
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Model guidance still has a strong front tracking through the lower Tasman Sea overnight Friday but recent runs have tweaked the alignment more towards a zonal pattern (west-east), which has downgraded our surf potential.
There’s still around three feet of leftover southerly swell across Southern NSW this afternoon, so we can look forward to a similar round of energy across Northern NSW on Tuesday morning.
The weekend looks reasonably fun all round.
These troughs/lows that develop close to the Southern NSW coast and remain slow moving are always tricky for swell potential.
With wave heights expected to reach a brief peak overnight under the cover of darkness, Tuesday morning should still see slightly larger surf than what we’ve seen today.
Today’s easing trade swell will continue its downwards trend into the weekend, but winds will swing W/NW across northern regions and W/SW across southern regions, resulting in clean beachbreaks.
The next few days look a little suss with E/NE winds tending NE then eventually N’ly, freshening all the while.
There’s been some interesting upgrades in the model guidance for this Far North Coast low over the last few days.
There’s not a great deal of size or strength expected for the weekend, though Saturday will offer the best surf of the next few days